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LaLiga2

Referee: D Arcediano

Sp Gijon

S T T T S

3–1

Full-time

Almeria

S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Gijon Almeria

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,2

4,3

Scored

1,7

2,2

Conceded

1,5

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — LaLiga2 · 40/40 matches

Win Ø 47%

40%

53%

Points per game

1,4

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

53%

73%

Both score Ø 66%

58%

73%

Average goals

2,7

3,5

Scored

1,4

2,0

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

36% Possession 64%

13 Shots 20

8 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 4

6 Goalkeeper saves 6

4 Corners 8

0 Offside 3

16 Free kicks against 12

4 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sp Gijon 13. · Almeria 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Santander	40	24	6	10	+26	-1.2	78
2	La Coruna	40	21	11	8	+20	+2.1	74
3	Almeria	40	21	8	11	+19	+2.0	71
4	Malaga	40	20	9	11	+21	+6.2	69
5	Las Palmas	40	19	12	9	+16	+0.7	69
6	Castellon	40	18	12	10	+17	+6.9	66
7	Burgos	40	18	12	10	+12	+5.3	66
8	Eibar	40	18	10	12	+11	+7.1	64
9	Cordoba	40	17	9	14	-2	+6.7	60
10	Albacete	41	16	11	14	+2	+2.0	59
11	Andorra	41	16	10	15	+9	+2.9	58
12	Ceuta	41	16	10	15	-13	-15.4	58
13	Sp Gijon	40	16	7	17	+3	+1.9	55
14	Granada	40	12	12	16	-3	-1.9	48
15	Sociedad B	41	12	10	19	-9	-9.0	46
16	Valladolid	40	12	10	18	-10	+2.2	46
17	Leganes	40	10	13	17	-6	+3.1	43
18	Cadiz	40	10	10	20	-20	-6.7	40
19	Huesca	40	9	10	21	-21	-0.2	37
20	Mirandes	40	9	10	21	-23	-5.7	37
21	Cultural Leonesa	40	9	9	22	-27	-12.1	36
22	Zaragoza	40	8	11	21	-22	+2.9	35

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Santander	20	14	2	4	+23	+3.7	44
2	Almeria	20	14	2	4	+21	+7.1	44
3	Eibar	20	13	4	3	+18	+10.4	43
4	Malaga	20	12	6	2	+18	+5.3	42
5	Las Palmas	20	12	5	3	+19	+3.2	41
6	Castellon	20	12	4	4	+16	+1.2	40
7	La Coruna	20	11	5	4	+10	+2.3	38
8	Ceuta	20	11	4	5	+4	-0.5	37
9	Sp Gijon	20	10	6	4	+11	+3.0	36
10	Burgos	20	9	8	3	+12	+6.6	35
11	Cordoba	20	9	4	7	+0	+3.9	31
12	Albacete	21	9	4	8	-2	-0.2	31
13	Andorra	21	8	6	7	+6	+4.6	30
14	Valladolid	20	8	5	7	+4	+4.0	29
15	Sociedad B	20	7	7	6	+2	-0.8	28
16	Huesca	20	7	7	6	+0	+1.4	28
17	Granada	20	6	8	6	+4	+3.5	26
18	Leganes	20	6	6	8	-1	+7.6	24
19	Cadiz	20	6	2	12	-10	-1.9	20
20	Mirandes	20	5	5	10	-11	-1.6	20
21	Zaragoza	20	4	6	10	-11	+6.1	18
22	Cultural Leonesa	20	4	5	11	-15	+0.7	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	La Coruna	20	10	6	4	+10	-0.3	36
2	Santander	20	10	4	6	+3	-4.8	34
3	Burgos	20	9	4	7	+0	-1.3	31
4	Cordoba	20	8	5	7	-2	+2.8	29
5	Albacete	20	7	7	6	+4	+2.2	28
6	Andorra	20	8	4	8	+3	-1.7	28
7	Las Palmas	20	7	7	6	-3	-2.5	28
8	Malaga	20	8	3	9	+3	+0.9	27
9	Almeria	20	7	6	7	-2	-5.1	27
10	Castellon	20	6	8	6	+1	+5.7	26
11	Granada	20	6	4	10	-7	-5.5	22
12	Eibar	20	5	6	9	-7	-3.3	21
13	Ceuta	21	5	6	10	-17	-14.9	21
14	Cadiz	20	4	8	8	-10	-4.8	20
15	Leganes	20	4	7	9	-5	-4.4	19
16	Sp Gijon	20	6	1	13	-8	-1.0	19
17	Cultural Leonesa	20	5	4	11	-12	-12.7	19
18	Sociedad B	21	5	3	13	-11	-8.2	18
19	Zaragoza	20	4	5	11	-11	-3.2	17
20	Mirandes	20	4	5	11	-12	-4.1	17
21	Valladolid	20	4	5	11	-14	-1.9	17
22	Huesca	20	2	3	15	-21	-1.6	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.