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LaLiga2
Referee: Manuel Angel Perez Hernandez
Almeria
U S U T T
2–1
Full-time
Sp Gijon
S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Almeria Sp Gijon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
4,0
2,2
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
2,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,5
This season — LaLiga2 · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
20%
60%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
80%
40%
Both score Ø 60%
80%
40%
Average goals
4,4
2,2
Scored
2,0
1,2
Conceded
2,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

68% Possession 32%
24 Shots 9
9 Shots on target 5
7 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 7
6 Corners 1
1 Offside 4
15 Free kicks against 7
4 Yellow cards 8
0 Red cards 2
The table before the match Almeria 15. · Sp Gijon 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 La Coruna 6 4 2 0 +11 14
2 Santander 5 4 0 1 +5 12
3 Valladolid 5 3 2 0 +6 +2.3 11
4 Andorra 6 3 2 1 +3 11
5 Cadiz 5 3 2 0 +3 11
6 Las Palmas 6 3 2 1 +3 11
7 Huesca 6 3 1 2 -2 10
8 Sp Gijon 5 3 0 2 +1 9
9 Burgos 5 2 2 1 +4 +3.1 8
10 Malaga 5 2 2 1 +1 8
11 Eibar 5 2 1 2 +3 7
12 Leganes 6 1 4 1 +1 7
13 Mirandes 6 2 1 3 -2 7
14 Sociedad B 5 1 2 2 -1 5
15 Almeria 5 1 2 2 -2 5
16 Castellon 6 1 2 3 -2 5
17 Cordoba 5 1 1 3 -4 4
18 Ceuta 5 1 1 3 -6 -2.3 4
19 Cultural Leonesa 6 1 1 4 -6 -3.1 4
20 Zaragoza 5 0 3 2 -3 3
21 Albacete 5 0 2 3 -5 2
22 Granada 5 0 1 4 -8 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Almeria Sp Gijon
24′
G. Campos 0–1
J. Otero
Gui Guedes 🔁
↦ D. Lopy
25′
Federico Bonini ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
44′
Half-time 0–1
Thalys 🔁
↦ Leo Baptistao
46′
A. Puigmal 🔁
↦ N. Melamed
46′
49′
🟨 Guille Rosas
51′
🟨 Juan Otero
51′
🟨 Guille Rosas
51′
🟥 Guille Rosas
52′
🟨 Álex Corredera
1–1 A. Embarba
A. Puigmal
55′
57′
🔁 K. Vazquez
↦ J. Dubasin
58′
🔁 N. Martin
↦ C. Gelabert Pina
68′
🔁 P. Garcia
↦ G. Campos
68′
🔁 O. Cortes
↦ J. Smith
A. Horta 🔁
↦ I. Baba
69′
Thalys 🟨
75′
79′
🟨 Pablo Vázquez
81′
🟨 Kevin Vázquez
André Horta 🟨
82′
2–1 S. Arribas
A. Puigmal
85′
88′
🟨 Lucas Perrin
Álex Muñoz 🟨
93′
93′
🔁 J. Caicedo
↦ D. Sanchez
A. Centelles 🔁
↦ A. Munoz
95′
Federico Bonini 🟨
98′
100′
🟨 Álex Corredera
100′
🟥 Álex Corredera
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Almeria

4-2-3-1
1 A. Fernandez G
22 D. Chirino D
4 N. Monte D
18 F. Bonini D
3 A. Munoz D
14 I. Baba M
17 D. Lopy M
10 N. Melamed M
11 S. Arribas M
23 A. Embarba M
12 Leo Baptistao F
Bench (12)
13 F. Martinez
20 A. Centelles
15 A. Hernandez
16 M. Luna
8 Gui Guedes
5 S. Clua
29 S. Dzodic
9 Thalys
6 A. Horta
36 M. Perovic
2 A. Puigmal
19 P. Soko

Coach: Joan Francesc Ferrer Sicilia

Sp Gijon

4-2-3-1
1 R. Yanez G
2 G. Rosas D
15 P. Vazquez D
4 L. Perrin D
5 D. Sanchez D
14 A. Corredera M
24 J. Smith M
19 J. Otero M
10 C. Gelabert Pina M
7 G. Campos M
17 J. Dubasin F
Bench (10)
13 C. Joel
3 P. Garcia
22 Y. Kembo
28 P. Mbemba
20 K. Vazquez
6 N. Martin
9 J. Caicedo
16 O. Cortes
32 E. O. Prendes
11 D. Queipo

Coach: Asier Garitano Aguirrezábal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,71
U
3,68
B
4,22
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,79
U2,5
1,93
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Manuel Angel Perez Hernandez · 12 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
7,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
29,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.