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LaLiga2
Referee: J A Gonzalez Esteban
Zaragoza
T U T T T
1–3
Full-time
Sp Gijon
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zaragoza Sp Gijon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
0,5
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 39/39 matches
Win Ø 30%
21%
38%
Points per game
0,9
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
51%
Both score Ø 53%
49%
56%
Average goals
2,2
2,6
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

56% Possession 44%
16 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 7
6 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 2
0 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zaragoza 22. · Sp Gijon 13.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 40 24 6 10 +26 -1.2 78
2 La Coruna 40 21 11 8 +20 +2.1 74
3 Almeria 40 21 8 11 +19 +2.0 71
4 Malaga 40 20 9 11 +21 +6.2 69
5 Las Palmas 40 19 12 9 +16 +0.7 69
6 Castellon 40 18 12 10 +17 +6.9 66
7 Burgos 40 18 12 10 +12 +5.3 66
8 Eibar 40 18 10 12 +11 +7.1 64
9 Cordoba 40 17 9 14 -2 +6.7 60
10 Andorra 40 16 10 14 +11 +2.9 58
11 Albacete 40 15 11 14 +0 +2.0 56
12 Ceuta 40 15 10 15 -15 -15.4 55
13 Sp Gijon 39 15 7 17 +1 +1.9 52
14 Granada 40 12 12 16 -3 -1.9 48
15 Sociedad B 40 12 10 18 -7 -9.0 46
16 Valladolid 40 12 10 18 -10 +2.2 46
17 Leganes 39 10 12 17 -6 +3.1 42
18 Cadiz 40 10 10 20 -20 -6.7 40
19 Mirandes 40 9 10 21 -23 -5.7 37
20 Huesca 39 9 9 21 -21 -0.2 36
21 Cultural Leonesa 40 9 9 22 -27 -12.1 36
22 Zaragoza 39 8 11 20 -20 +2.9 35

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zaragoza Sp Gijon
1–0 Y. Saidu
23′
29′
L. Perrin 1–1
P. Vazquez
37′
ℹ️ Álex Corredera
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Adrián Rodríguez 🟨
39′
41′
A. Corredera 1–2
Half-time 1–2
F. Moyano 🔁
↦ M. A. Cuenca
46′
K. Kodro 🔁
↦ A. Radovanovic
46′
54′
🔁 K. Vazquez
↦ G. Rosas
60′
🟨 Pablo García
65′
🟨 Rubén Yáñez
69′
🔁 A. Coundoul
↦ J. Smith
69′
🔁 J. Bernal
↦ C. Gelabert Pina
J. Larios 🔁
↦ D. Tasende
74′
A. Gomes 🔁
↦ J. Sebastian
74′
J. Tobajas 🔁
↦ H. Pinilla
78′
79′
🟨 Jesús Bernal
86′
🔁 D. Sanchez
↦ P. Garcia
90′
A. Coundoul 1–3
G. Campos
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Zaragoza

4-1-4-1
13 A. Rodriguez G
2 J. Sebastian D
18 J. El Yamiq D
16 A. Radovanovic D
3 D. Tasende D
33 Y. Saidu M
23 M. A. Cuenca M
8 T. Moya M
6 K. Bare M
31 H. Pinilla M
9 D. Gomez F
Bench (12)
35 Obon
17 F. Moyano
19 K. Kodro
24 P. Akouokou
22 W. Agada
32 H. Barrachina
25 N. Cumic
27 J. Larios
26 M. Mensah
34 L. Terrer
29 J. Tobajas
36 A. Gomes

Coach: David Navarro

Sp Gijon

3-5-2
1 R. Yanez G
15 P. Vazquez D
4 L. Perrin D
44 A. Cuenca D
2 G. Rosas M
36 M. Rodriguez M
24 J. Smith M
14 A. Corredera M
3 P. Garcia M
10 C. Gelabert Pina F
7 G. Campos F
Bench (9)
13 C. Joel
30 I. Venteo
20 K. Vazquez
18 A. Coundoul
23 E. Curbelo
8 J. Bernal
5 D. Sanchez
48 D. Paul
49 M. Fernandez

Coach: Borja Jimenez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,82
U
3,49
B ✓
3,83
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,84
U2,5
1,87
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J A Gonzalez Esteban · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.