Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Brondby
Aarhus
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Midtjylland
|
27 | 22 | 2 | 3 | +30 | 68 |
| 2 |
FC Copenhagen
|
27 | 18 | 3 | 6 | +18 | 57 |
| 3 |
Aarhus
|
26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | +14 | 47 |
| 4 |
Nordsjaelland
|
27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | +13 | 42 |
| 5 |
Brondby
|
26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | +10 | 42 |
| 6 |
Aalborg
|
27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | +9 | 38 |
| 7 |
Randers FC
|
27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | +2 | 35 |
| 8 |
Horsens
|
27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | -19 | 35 |
| 9 |
Odense
|
26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | +4 | 33 |
| 10 |
Lyngby
|
27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | -15 | 32 |
| 11 |
Sonderjyske
|
27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | -12 | 30 |
| 12 |
Hobro
|
27 | 3 | 15 | 9 | -10 | 24 |
| 13 |
Esbjerg
|
27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -20 | 21 |
| 14 |
Silkeborg
|
26 | 3 | 7 | 16 | -24 | 16 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Horsens
Brondby
Brondby
Sonderjyske
Nordsjaelland
Brondby
Brondby
Lyngby
Aalborg
Brondby
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.