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2. Bundesliga

St Pauli

S T U U T

2–1

Full-time

Erzgebirge Aue

S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Pauli Erzgebirge Aue

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,2

2,8

Scored

0,7

1,2

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,5

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 32%

27%

37%

Points per game

1,2

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

43%

53%

Both score Ø 53%

53%

Average goals

2,5

2,7

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

8 Shots 18

4 Shots on target 4

4 Corners 4

20 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Pauli 13. · Erzgebirge Aue 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bielefeld	30	15	13	2	+27	58
2	Hamburg	31	14	11	6	+21	53
3	Stuttgart	30	15	7	8	+14	52
4	Heidenheim	31	14	9	8	+11	51
5	Darmstadt	30	10	13	7	+1	43
6	Bochum	31	10	12	9	+3	42
7	Greuther Furth	31	11	9	11	+2	42
8	Hannover	30	11	9	10	+1	42
9	Erzgebirge Aue	30	11	8	11	-2	41
10	Sandhausen	31	9	13	9	-1	40
11	Holstein Kiel	31	10	9	12	-2	39
12	Regensburg	31	10	9	12	-6	39
13	St Pauli	30	8	11	11	-4	35
14	Osnabruck	31	8	11	12	-5	35
15	Nurnberg	31	7	12	12	-13	33
16	Wehen	31	8	7	16	-14	31
17	Karlsruhe	30	6	12	12	-12	30
18	Dresden	30	7	7	16	-21	28

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Stuttgart	15	11	2	2	+19	35
2	Heidenheim	16	10	4	2	+18	34
3	Hamburg	15	10	3	2	+19	33
4	Erzgebirge Aue	15	10	3	2	+14	33
5	St Pauli	15	7	5	3	+9	26
6	Bielefeld	14	6	7	1	+12	25
7	Bochum	16	6	7	3	+7	25
8	Regensburg	15	7	4	4	+5	25
9	Darmstadt	15	5	9	1	+8	24
10	Sandhausen	16	5	8	3	+2	23
11	Greuther Furth	15	7	2	6	+1	23
12	Hannover	15	4	8	3	+0	20
13	Osnabruck	16	5	4	7	-2	19
14	Karlsruhe	15	4	6	5	-2	18
15	Dresden	16	5	3	8	-5	18
16	Holstein Kiel	15	4	5	6	-3	17
17	Nurnberg	16	3	7	6	-10	16
18	Wehen	15	3	4	8	-14	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bielefeld	16	9	6	1	+15	33
2	Holstein Kiel	16	6	4	6	+1	22
3	Hannover	15	7	1	7	+1	22
4	Hamburg	16	4	8	4	+2	20
5	Greuther Furth	16	4	7	5	+1	19
6	Darmstadt	15	5	4	6	-7	19
7	Wehen	16	5	3	8	+0	18
8	Nurnberg	15	4	5	6	-3	17
9	Sandhausen	15	4	5	6	-3	17
10	Bochum	15	4	5	6	-4	17
11	Stuttgart	15	4	5	6	-5	17
12	Heidenheim	15	4	5	6	-7	17
13	Osnabruck	15	3	7	5	-3	16
14	Regensburg	16	3	5	8	-11	14
15	Karlsruhe	15	2	6	7	-10	12
16	Dresden	14	2	4	8	-16	10
17	St Pauli	15	1	6	8	-13	9
18	Erzgebirge Aue	15	1	5	9	-16	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.