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Super League

Referee: E Manouhos

Olympiakos

S S S S S

3–1

Full-time

Aris Thessalonikis

U T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olympiakos Aris Thessalonikis

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

100%

33%

Points per game

3,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

2,2

2,7

Scored

2,0

1,5

Conceded

0,2

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+0,3

This season — Super League · 30/27 matches

Win Ø 57%

80%

33%

Points per game

2,6

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

43%

48%

Both score Ø 48%

37%

59%

Average goals

2,5

2,7

Scored

2,1

1,5

Conceded

0,4

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

64% Possession 36%

9 Shots 7

6 Shots on target 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 1

5 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Olympiakos 1. · Aris Thessalonikis 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	30	24	6	0	+50	78
2	PAOK	30	18	7	5	+24	61
3	AEK	30	17	8	5	+23	59
4	Panathinaikos	30	12	11	7	+8	47
5	OFI Crete	31	11	5	15	-4	38
6	Aris Thessalonikis	27	9	10	8	+8	37
7	Aris	28	9	10	9	+6	37
8	Atromitos	29	10	7	12	-4	37
9	Asteras Tripolis	29	9	7	13	-4	34
10	Larisa	29	8	10	11	-5	34
11	Lamia	30	6	15	9	-12	33
12	Volos NFC	30	9	6	15	-22	33
13	Xanthi	29	8	6	15	-14	30
14	Panionios	29	5	6	18	-30	21
15	Panetolikos	29	4	8	17	-24	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	15	14	1	0	+31	43
2	PAOK	15	10	3	2	+18	33
3	AEK	15	9	5	1	+18	32
4	OFI Crete	15	9	2	4	+13	29
5	Panathinaikos	15	8	4	3	+13	28
6	Aris Thessalonikis	14	8	2	4	+14	26
7	Aris	14	8	2	4	+14	26
8	Volos NFC	15	7	3	5	-1	24
9	Asteras Tripolis	14	6	5	3	+7	23
10	Atromitos	15	5	6	4	+5	21
11	Lamia	15	4	9	2	+0	21
12	Larisa	15	5	4	6	+1	19
13	Xanthi	14	4	5	5	+0	17
14	Panionios	15	4	5	6	-1	17
15	Panetolikos	14	4	5	5	-2	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	15	10	5	0	+19	35
2	PAOK	15	8	4	3	+6	28
3	AEK	15	8	3	4	+5	27
4	Panathinaikos	15	4	7	4	-5	19
5	Atromitos	14	5	1	8	-9	16
6	Larisa	14	3	6	5	-6	15
7	Xanthi	15	4	1	10	-14	13
8	Lamia	15	2	6	7	-12	12
9	Aris Thessalonikis	13	1	8	4	-6	11
10	Aris	14	1	8	5	-8	11
11	Asteras Tripolis	15	3	2	10	-11	11
12	OFI Crete	16	2	3	11	-17	9
13	Volos NFC	15	2	3	10	-21	9
14	Panionios	14	1	1	12	-29	4
15	Panetolikos	15	0	3	12	-22	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.