Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Cracovia
Wisla Plock
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Legia
|
29 | 19 | 3 | 7 | +35 | 60 |
| 2 |
Piast Gliwice
|
29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | +8 | 50 |
| 3 |
Lech Poznan
|
29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | +23 | 46 |
| 4 |
Slask Wroclaw
|
29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | +5 | 46 |
| 5 |
Cracovia
|
29 | 14 | 3 | 12 | +10 | 45 |
| 6 |
Jagiellonia
|
29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | +4 | 44 |
| 7 |
Pogon Szczecin
|
29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | -2 | 44 |
| 8 |
Lechia Gdansk
|
29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | -2 | 42 |
| 9 |
Zaglebie
|
29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | +4 | 38 |
| 10 |
Gornik Zabrze
|
29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | -1 | 38 |
| 11 |
Rakow
|
29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | -6 | 38 |
| 12 |
Wisla Plock
|
29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | -13 | 37 |
| 13 |
Wisla
|
29 | 10 | 4 | 15 | -10 | 34 |
| 14 |
Korona Kielce
|
29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | -13 | 30 |
| 15 |
Arka Gdynia
|
29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | -19 | 28 |
| 16 |
LKS Lodz
|
29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | -23 | 21 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Lechia Gdansk
Cracovia
Pogon Szczecin
Cracovia
Cracovia
Jagiellonia
Gornik Zabrze
Cracovia
Cracovia
Wisla
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.