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Superligaen

Aarhus

T U S S U

2–1

Full-time

Nordsjaelland

S U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aarhus Nordsjaelland

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

1,8

2,5

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,5

This season — Superligaen · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 48%

52%

44%

Points per game

1,8

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

56%

67%

Both score Ø 63%

59%

67%

Average goals

2,6

3,1

Scored

1,6

1,8

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Aarhus 3. · Nordsjaelland 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Midtjylland	27	22	2	3	+30	68
2	FC Copenhagen	27	18	3	6	+18	57
3	Aarhus	27	14	6	7	+14	48
4	Brondby	27	13	4	10	+10	43
5	Nordsjaelland	27	12	6	9	+13	42
6	Aalborg	27	11	5	11	+9	38
7	Randers FC	28	11	5	12	+6	38
8	Horsens	28	10	6	12	-19	36
9	Odense	27	9	6	12	-2	33
10	Lyngby	27	9	5	13	-15	32
11	Sonderjyske	27	7	9	11	-12	30
12	Hobro	28	3	15	10	-14	24
13	Esbjerg	28	5	7	16	-20	22
14	Silkeborg	27	4	7	16	-18	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	13	11	1	1	+16	34
2	Brondby	14	9	2	3	+10	29
3	Midtjylland	13	9	1	3	+10	28
4	Randers FC	14	8	3	3	+14	27
5	Nordsjaelland	14	7	4	3	+13	25
6	Lyngby	13	8	1	4	-1	25
7	Aarhus	13	7	3	3	+9	24
8	Aalborg	14	7	2	5	+7	23
9	Odense	13	6	3	4	+7	21
10	Sonderjyske	14	5	5	4	-2	20
11	Horsens	14	6	2	6	-8	20
12	Esbjerg	14	4	4	6	-2	16
13	Hobro	14	1	10	3	-5	13
14	Silkeborg	14	3	2	9	-7	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Midtjylland	14	13	1	0	+20	40
2	Aarhus	14	7	3	4	+5	24
3	FC Copenhagen	14	7	2	5	+2	23
4	Nordsjaelland	13	5	2	6	+0	17
5	Horsens	14	4	4	6	-11	16
6	Aalborg	13	4	3	6	+2	15
7	Brondby	13	4	2	7	+0	14
8	Odense	14	3	3	8	-9	12
9	Randers FC	14	3	2	9	-8	11
10	Hobro	14	2	5	7	-9	11
11	Sonderjyske	13	2	4	7	-10	10
12	Silkeborg	13	1	5	7	-11	8
13	Lyngby	14	1	4	9	-14	7
14	Esbjerg	14	1	3	10	-18	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.