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Bundesliga

Referee: M Gräfe

RB Leipzig

S U S U S

2–2

Full-time

Fortuna Dusseldorf

U S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

RB Leipzig Fortuna Dusseldorf

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,8

Scored

2,5

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-0,8

This season — Bundesliga · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 37%

55%

19%

Points per game

2,0

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

68%

61%

Both score Ø 62%

65%

58%

Average goals

3,5

3,0

Scored

2,5

1,1

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

71% Possession 29%

14 Shots 12

5 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 2

4 Offside 3

7 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match RB Leipzig 3. · Fortuna Dusseldorf 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	32	24	4	4	+62	76
2	Dortmund	31	20	6	5	+47	66
3	RB Leipzig	31	17	11	3	+45	62
4	M'gladbach	32	18	5	9	+23	59
5	Leverkusen	31	17	6	8	+16	57
6	Wolfsburg	32	12	10	10	+3	46
7	Freiburg	32	12	9	11	-1	45
8	Hoffenheim	31	12	7	12	-10	43
9	Ein Frankfurt	32	12	5	15	-2	41
10	Schalke 04	32	9	12	11	-13	39
11	Hertha	32	10	8	14	-12	38
12	Union Berlin	32	11	5	16	-16	38
13	FC Koln	31	10	5	16	-11	35
14	Augsburg	31	9	8	14	-15	35
15	Mainz	31	9	4	18	-24	31
16	Fortuna Dusseldorf	31	6	10	15	-28	28
17	Werder Bremen	32	7	7	18	-30	28
18	Paderborn	32	4	8	20	-34	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	16	12	2	2	+36	38
2	Dortmund	15	11	3	1	+35	36
3	M'gladbach	16	11	2	3	+18	35
4	RB Leipzig	15	7	7	1	+19	28
5	Freiburg	16	8	2	6	+2	26
6	Ein Frankfurt	16	7	4	5	+8	25
7	Leverkusen	15	7	4	4	+7	25
8	Union Berlin	16	7	3	6	+1	24
9	Schalke 04	16	5	7	4	-4	22
10	FC Koln	16	6	3	7	+1	21
11	Augsburg	15	5	5	5	+2	20
12	Wolfsburg	16	4	7	5	+0	19
13	Hoffenheim	16	6	1	9	-15	19
14	Hertha	16	5	3	8	-11	18
15	Fortuna Dusseldorf	16	4	5	7	-10	17
16	Mainz	16	4	2	10	-13	14
17	Paderborn	16	2	2	12	-23	8
18	Werder Bremen	16	1	3	12	-26	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	16	12	2	2	+26	38
2	RB Leipzig	16	10	4	2	+26	34
3	Leverkusen	16	10	2	4	+9	32
4	Dortmund	16	9	3	4	+12	30
5	Wolfsburg	16	8	3	5	+3	27
6	M'gladbach	16	7	3	6	+5	24
7	Hoffenheim	15	6	6	3	+5	24
8	Werder Bremen	16	6	4	6	-4	22
9	Hertha	16	5	5	6	-1	20
10	Freiburg	16	4	7	5	-3	19
11	Schalke 04	16	4	5	7	-9	17
12	Mainz	15	5	2	8	-11	17
13	Ein Frankfurt	16	5	1	10	-10	16
14	Augsburg	16	4	3	9	-17	15
15	FC Koln	15	4	2	9	-12	14
16	Union Berlin	16	4	2	10	-17	14
17	Paderborn	16	2	6	8	-11	12
18	Fortuna Dusseldorf	15	2	5	8	-18	11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.