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La Liga

Referee: Eduardo Prieto

Eibar

T S T T T

2–2

Full-time

Ath Bilbao

T T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Ath Bilbao

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,5

2,5

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

2,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,2

This season — La Liga · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 29%

25%

32%

Points per game

1,0

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

57%

25%

Both score Ø 46%

46%

Average goals

2,6

1,9

Scored

1,0

1,1

Conceded

1,6

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

47% Possession 53%

12 Shots 6

6 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

8 Corners 3

0 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Eibar 16. · Ath Bilbao 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	29	20	4	5	+38	64
2	Real Madrid	28	17	8	3	+32	59
3	Sevilla	29	14	9	6	+12	51
4	Sociedad	28	14	5	9	+12	47
5	Getafe	29	13	8	8	+11	47
6	Ath Madrid	28	11	13	4	+10	46
7	Villarreal	29	13	5	11	+8	44
8	Valencia	28	11	10	7	-1	43
9	Granada	29	12	6	11	+2	42
10	Ath Bilbao	28	9	11	8	+6	38
11	Osasuna	28	8	11	9	-4	35
12	Levante	29	10	5	14	-8	35
13	Betis	29	8	10	11	-7	34
14	Valladolid	28	7	11	10	-9	32
15	Alaves	28	8	8	12	-10	32
16	Eibar	28	7	6	15	-16	27
17	Celta	28	5	11	12	-13	26
18	Mallorca	29	7	4	18	-21	25
19	Espanol	29	5	9	15	-21	24
20	Leganes	29	5	8	16	-21	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	15	14	1	0	+35	43
2	Real Madrid	14	10	4	0	+20	34
3	Valencia	15	8	7	0	+11	31
4	Ath Madrid	14	8	5	1	+11	29
5	Granada	14	9	2	3	+9	29
6	Sociedad	14	8	3	3	+15	27
7	Sevilla	14	7	5	2	+8	26
8	Getafe	15	7	5	3	+8	26
9	Villarreal	14	7	4	3	+10	25
10	Ath Bilbao	14	7	4	3	+8	25
11	Levante	14	7	4	3	+7	25
12	Betis	15	7	4	4	+6	25
13	Alaves	14	6	5	3	+7	23
14	Osasuna	14	5	5	4	+0	20
15	Mallorca	15	6	2	7	-2	20
16	Eibar	14	6	1	7	-1	19
17	Celta	14	4	5	5	-3	17
18	Valladolid	13	3	7	3	+1	16
19	Leganes	15	4	3	8	-7	15
20	Espanol	14	2	5	7	-10	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	14	7	4	3	+12	25
2	Sevilla	15	7	4	4	+4	25
3	Barcelona	14	6	3	5	+3	21
4	Getafe	14	6	3	5	+3	21
5	Sociedad	14	6	2	6	-3	20
6	Villarreal	15	6	1	8	-2	19
7	Ath Madrid	14	3	8	3	-1	17
8	Valladolid	15	4	4	7	-10	16
9	Osasuna	14	3	6	5	-4	15
10	Ath Bilbao	14	2	7	5	-2	13
11	Granada	15	3	4	8	-7	13
12	Espanol	15	3	4	8	-11	13
13	Valencia	13	3	3	7	-12	12
14	Levante	15	3	1	11	-15	10
15	Celta	14	1	6	7	-10	9
16	Betis	14	1	6	7	-13	9
17	Alaves	14	2	3	9	-17	9
18	Leganes	14	1	5	8	-14	8
19	Eibar	14	1	5	8	-15	8
20	Mallorca	14	1	2	11	-19	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.