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Championship
Referee: R Madley
1–2
Full-time
Southampton
T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sheffield Weds Southampton
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,8
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,2
4,3
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
0,8
2,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,56 xG 1,39
20% Possession 80%
8 Shots 23
1 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 9
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 6
2 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Sheffield Weds Southampton
8′
A. Armstrong 0–1
N. Tella
27′
🟨 Adam Armstrong
Lee Gregory 🟨
28′
Callum Paterson 🟨
30′
37′
🟨 Ryan Manning
Half-time 0–1
Juan Delgado 🟨
46′
1–1 L. Gregory
54′
64′
🟨 Nathan Tella
A. Musaba 🔁
↦ L. Gregory
68′
73′
🔁 S. Armstrong
↦ C. Alcaraz
L. Palmer 🔁
↦ W. Vaulks
77′
A. Fletcher 🔁
↦ J. Delgado
77′
Cameron Dawson 🟨
78′
79′
🔁 C. Adams
↦ A. Armstrong
84′
🟨 Jack Stephens
R. James 🔁
↦ J. Windass
86′
87′
C. Adams 1–2
J. Ward-Prowse
89′
🔁 J. Aribo
↦ S. Edozie
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Sheffield Weds

4-2-3-1
1 C. Dawson G
13 C. Paterson D
6 D. Iorfa D
20 M. Ihiekwe D
23 A. Famewo D
4 W. Vaulks M
19 T. Bakinson M
15 J. Delgado M
10 B. Bannan M
11 J. Windass M
9 L. Gregory F
Bench (9)
45 A. Musaba
2 L. Palmer
27 A. Fletcher
33 R. James
14 Pol Valentín
24 M. Smith
7 M. Wilks
47 P. Charles
17 D. Bernard

Coach: Xisco Muñoz

Southampton

4-3-3
31 G. Bazunu G
2 K. Walker-Peters D
35 J. Bednarek D
5 J. Stephens D
3 R. Manning D
16 W. Smallbone M
8 J. Ward-Prowse M
22 C. Alcaraz M
11 N. Tella F
9 A. Armstrong F
23 S. Edozie F
Bench (9)
17 S. Armstrong
10 C. Adams
7 J. Aribo
1 A. McCarthy
24 S. Charles
19 M. Djenepo
45 R. Lavia
25 Lyanco
27 S. Amo-Ameyaw

Coach: R. Martin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,14
U
3,38
B ✓
2,28
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,99
U2,5
1,82
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Madley · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.