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2. Bundesliga
Referee: T Stieler
Paderborn
U S U T T
1–1
Full-time
Osnabruck
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paderborn Osnabruck
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
83%
100%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
4,2
4,2
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
2,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
5,0
5,0
Scored
0,0
2,0
Conceded
5,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
-5,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

72% Possession 28%
15 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 7
11 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Paderborn 18. · Osnabruck 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Greuther Furth 1 1 0 0 +5 3
2 Hamburg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
3 Hansa Rostock 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Karlsruhe 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 St Pauli 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Fortuna Dusseldorf 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Holstein Kiel 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Hannover 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Elversberg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Wehen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Magdeburg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Osnabruck 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Kaiserslautern 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Hertha 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Braunschweig 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Schalke 04 1 0 0 1 -2 0
17 Nurnberg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
18 Paderborn 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Paderborn Osnabruck
Half-time 1–0
1–0 J. Heuer
M. Kruse
56′
60′
🔁 C. Conteh
↦ N. Niemann
66′
🔁 C. Makridis
↦ K. Okyere Wriedt
66′
🔁 D. Gnaase
↦ R. Tesche
K. Klefisch 🔁
↦ D. Kinsombi
69′
R. Obermair 🔁
↦ L. Curda
76′
76′
🔁 J. Verhoek
↦ E. Engelhardt
76′
🔁 L. Kehl
↦ L. Kunze
80′
F. Kleinhansl 1–1
M. Rohr 🔁
↦ M. Schuster
85′
F. Platte 🔁
↦ S. Conteh
85′
F. Bilbija 🔁
↦ F. Muslija
86′
Felix Platte 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Paderborn

3-4-2-1
21 J. Huth G
24 J. Heuer D
15 T. Müller D
33 M. Hoffmeier D
17 L. Curda M
8 D. Kinsombi M
6 M. Schuster M
19 K. Ezekwem M
11 S. Conteh F
30 F. Muslija F
10 M. Kruse F
Bench (9)
27 K. Klefisch
23 R. Obermair
31 M. Rohr
36 F. Platte
7 F. Bilbija
22 M. Hansen
26 S. Klaas
40 N. Nadj
1 P. Boevink

Coach: L. Kwasniok

Osnabruck

4-3-3
1 L. Grill G
16 H. Rorig D
4 M. Gyamfi D
25 N. Wiemann D
3 F. Kleinhansl D
13 L. Kunze M
6 M. Thalhammer M
8 R. Tesche M
7 N. Niemann F
10 K. Okyere Wriedt F
9 E. Engelhardt F
Bench (9)
17 C. Conteh
11 C. Makridis
26 D. Gnaase
23 J. Verhoek
18 L. Kehl
15 P. Chato
22 P. Kühn
28 F. Bähr
32 J. Wulff

Coach: T. Schweinsteiger

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,59
U ✓
4,17
B
5,08
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,50
U2,5 ✓
2,51
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Stieler · 148 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.