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Ekstraklasa
Referee: B Frankowski
Jagiellonia
T U T T S
2–1
Full-time
Widzew Lodz
T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jagiellonia Widzew Lodz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,5
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
2,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,8
This season — Ekstraklasa · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
4,0
4,0
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,44 xG 0,65
56% Possession 44%
15 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 3
8 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Jagiellonia 8. · Widzew Lodz 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Lech Poznan 2 2 0 0 +3 -3.1 6
2 Zaglebie 2 2 0 0 +2 +0.3 6
3 Pogon Szczecin 2 2 0 0 +2 +2.5 6
4 Rakow 1 1 0 0 +3 +2.0 3
5 Legia 1 1 0 0 +3 3
6 Ruch Chorzow 2 1 0 1 +1 -0.3 3
7 Warta Poznan 2 1 0 1 +1 +0.8 3
8 Jagiellonia 2 1 0 1 +0 -0.5 3
9 Widzew Lodz 2 1 0 1 +0 -1.0 3
10 Radomiak Radom 2 1 0 1 +0 +0.7 3
11 Stal Mielec 2 0 2 0 +0 -0.6 2
12 Cracovia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Korona Kielce 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.7 1
14 Slask Wroclaw 2 0 1 1 -1 -0.7 1
15 Piast Gliwice 2 0 1 1 -1 +4.2 1
16 Puszcza 2 0 0 2 -4 -2.9 0
17 Gornik Zabrze 2 0 0 2 -4 -2.1 0
18 LKS Lodz 2 0 0 2 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Jagiellonia Widzew Lodz
36′
E. Terpiłowski 0–1
B. Pawłowski
39′
🟨 Ernest Terpiłowski
Half-time 0–1
Pawel Olszewski 🟨
49′
58′
🟨 Jordi Sánchez
60′
🔁 I. Rondić
↦ Jordi Sánchez
Afimico Pululu 🔁
↦ J. Kubicki
61′
José Naranjo 🔁
↦ W. Łaski
61′
61′
🔁 D. Kun
↦ Fran Álvarez
68′
🔁 A. Klimek
↦ F. Przybułek
68′
🔁 P. Zieliński
↦ E. Terpiłowski
J. Lewicki 🔁
↦ D. Marczuk
71′
M. Sáček 🔁
↦ T. Romanczuk
72′
1–1 Afimico Pululu
79′
80′
🟨 Luís da Silva
D. Stojinović 🔁
↦ P. Olszewski
82′
2–1 B. Wdowik
86′
87′
🔁 A. Cigaņiks
↦ B. Pawłowski
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Jagiellonia

4-2-3-1
1 Z. Alomerović G
19 P. Olszewski D
32 M. Matysik D
17 Adrián Diéguez D
27 B. Wdowik D
6 T. Romanczuk M
8 Nené M
7 D. Marczuk M
14 J. Kubicki M
77 W. Łaski M
11 Jesús Imaz F
Bench (9)
10 Afimico Pululu
28 José Naranjo
36 J. Lewicki
16 M. Sáček
3 D. Stojinović
5 B. Nastić
50 S. Abramowicz
72 M. Skrzypczak
18 T. Kupisz

Coach: A. Siemieniec

Widzew Lodz

4-1-4-1
1 H. Ravas G
95 P. Stępiński D
5 S. Szota D
2 Luís Silva D
92 Fábio Nunes D
25 M. Hanousek M
13 E. Terpiłowski M
80 F. Przybułek M
10 Fran Álvarez M
19 B. Pawłowski M
9 Jordi Sánchez F
Bench (9)
99 I. Rondić
22 D. Kun
47 A. Klimek
23 P. Zieliński
14 A. Cigaņiks
4 M. Żyro
7 M. Miloš
6 J. Shehu
74 J. Szymański

Coach: J. Niedźwiedź

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Frankowski · 85 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.