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Ekstraklasa

Referee: S Marciniak

LKS Lodz

S T U T T

2–1

Full-time

Korona Kielce

S T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

LKS Lodz Korona Kielce

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,5

Scored

1,2

Conceded

2,3

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,2

This season — Ekstraklasa · 2/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

2,5

2,0

Scored

0,0

1,0

Conceded

2,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-2,5

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%

7 Shots 20

3 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 7

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 5

3 Offside 0

24 Free kicks against 19

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match LKS Lodz 18. · Korona Kielce 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	2	2	0	0	+3	-3.1	6
2	Zaglebie	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.3	6
3	Pogon Szczecin	2	2	0	0	+2	+2.5	6
4	Jagiellonia	3	2	0	1	+1	+0.3	6
5	Rakow	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.0	3
6	Legia	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
7	Ruch Chorzow	2	1	0	1	+1	-0.3	3
8	Warta Poznan	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.8	3
9	Radomiak Radom	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.7	3
10	Widzew Lodz	3	1	0	2	-1	-1.8	3
11	Stal Mielec	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.6	2
12	Cracovia	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
13	Korona Kielce	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
14	Slask Wroclaw	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.7	1
15	Piast Gliwice	2	0	1	1	-1	+4.2	1
16	Puszcza	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.9	0
17	Gornik Zabrze	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.1	0
18	LKS Lodz	2	0	0	2	-5	–	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Jagiellonia	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.3	6
2	Rakow	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.0	3
3	Legia	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
4	Lech Poznan	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.5	3
5	Ruch Chorzow	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
6	Widzew Lodz	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.4	3
7	Zaglebie	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.3	3
8	Pogon Szczecin	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.4	3
9	Warta Poznan	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.8	3
10	Stal Mielec	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.6	2
11	Korona Kielce	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
12	Slask Wroclaw	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.0	0
13	Piast Gliwice	1	0	0	1	-1	+3.6	0
14	Gornik Zabrze	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Zaglebie	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.0	3
2	Lech Poznan	1	1	0	0	+1	-3.6	3
3	Pogon Szczecin	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.1	3
4	Radomiak Radom	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.7	3
5	Cracovia	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
6	Slask Wroclaw	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.7	1
7	Piast Gliwice	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.6	1
8	Ruch Chorzow	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.3	0
9	Widzew Lodz	2	0	0	2	-2	-3.2	0
10	Gornik Zabrze	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.9	0
11	Jagiellonia	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.0	0
12	Puszcza	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.9	0
13	LKS Lodz	2	0	0	2	-5	–	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.