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Superligaen
Referee: Jonas Hansen
Midtjylland
T U T U S
1–0
Full-time
Lyngby
T S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Midtjylland Lyngby
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,0
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
2,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,3
This season — Superligaen · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 22%
30%
13%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
48%
39%
Both score Ø 57%
61%
52%
Average goals
2,8
2,6
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%
20 Shots 5
7 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 6
10 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Midtjylland 6. · Lyngby 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 FC Copenhagen 23 14 3 6 +24 45
2 Nordsjaelland 23 12 7 4 +17 43
3 Viborg 24 11 7 6 +9 40
4 Aarhus 24 11 6 7 +7 39
5 Randers FC 23 8 9 6 -2 33
6 Midtjylland 23 7 10 6 +5 31
7 Silkeborg 23 8 6 9 -1 30
8 Brondby 23 8 6 9 -5 30
9 Odense 23 7 7 9 -13 28
10 Horsens 23 6 5 12 -15 23
11 Aalborg 23 4 6 13 -11 18
12 Lyngby 23 3 8 12 -15 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Midtjylland Lyngby
Armin Gigović 🟨
23′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 R. Çorlu
↦ W. Kumado
60′
🟨 Andreas Bjelland
60′
🔁 B. Hämäläinen
↦ P. Gregor
61′
🔁 G. Mortensen
↦ T. Storm
Júnior Brumado 🔁
↦ F. Heiselberg
67′
A. Şimşir 🔁
↦ A. Gigović
67′
Paulinho 🔁
↦ M. Thychosen
67′
1–0 K. Olsson
A. Şimşir
72′
77′
🔁 P. Knudsen
↦ S. Magnússon
77′
🔁 S. Koch
↦ A. Bjelland
80′
🟨 Gustav Mortensen
88′
🟨 Tochi Chukwuani
Charles 🔁
↦ O. Sørensen
92′
E. Chilufya 🔁
↦ G. Isaksen
92′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Midtjylland

4-4-2
1 J. Lössl G
14 H. Dalsgaard D
4 S. Gartenmann D
73 Juninho D
17 M. Thychosen D
24 O. Sørensen M
5 E. Martínez M
8 K. Olsson M
37 A. Gigović M
11 G. Isaksen F
47 F. Heiselberg F
Bench (9)
74 Júnior Brumado
58 A. Şimşir
29 Paulinho
35 Charles
18 E. Chilufya
20 V. Byskov
16 E. Ólafsson
55 V. Bak
10 Emam Ashour

Coach: T. Thomasberg

Lyngby

3-4-3
16 M. Kikkenborg G
23 P. Gregor D
6 A. Bjelland D
29 L. Hey D
24 T. Storm M
30 M. Rømer M
42 T. Chukwuani M
20 K. Finnsson M
7 W. Kumado F
26 F. Gytkjær F
21 S. Magnússon F
Bench (9)
10 R. Çorlu
3 B. Hämäläinen
25 G. Mortensen
8 P. Knudsen
12 S. Koch
40 J. Storch
22 P. Bizoza
9 M. Kristensen
13 C. Winther

Coach: F. Alexandersson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jonas Hansen · 16 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.