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Super League

Referee: J Mandach

Winterthur

U U T S T

1–2

Full-time

Luzern

S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Winterthur Luzern

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,0

2,2

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,2

This season — Super League · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 27%

23%

31%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

38%

50%

Both score Ø 60%

58%

62%

Average goals

2,6

2,8

Scored

0,8

1,4

Conceded

1,8

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,9

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

58% Possession 42%

14 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 1

2 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Winterthur 10. · Luzern 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Young Boys	26	15	9	2	+41	54
2	Servette	27	9	13	5	+0	40
3	St. Gallen	27	9	9	9	+10	36
4	Lugano	27	9	9	9	+1	36
5	Basel	27	8	11	8	+4	35
6	Grasshoppers	26	9	7	10	-2	34
7	Luzern	26	8	9	9	+0	33
8	Zurich	27	6	12	9	-12	30
9	Sion	27	6	9	12	-18	27
10	Winterthur	26	6	8	12	-24	26

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Young Boys	13	10	3	0	+31	33
2	St. Gallen	13	6	6	1	+11	24
3	Servette	13	6	6	1	+6	24
4	Grasshoppers	13	7	2	4	+4	23
5	Basel	13	5	6	2	+8	21
6	Lugano	14	5	5	4	+2	20
7	Winterthur	13	5	4	4	-9	19
8	Zurich	14	3	7	4	-4	16
9	Luzern	13	3	5	5	-2	14
10	Sion	14	2	4	8	-15	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Young Boys	13	5	6	2	+10	21
2	Luzern	13	5	4	4	+2	19
3	Sion	13	4	5	4	-3	17
4	Lugano	13	4	4	5	-1	16
5	Servette	14	3	7	4	-6	16
6	Basel	14	3	5	6	-4	14
7	Zurich	13	3	5	5	-8	14
8	St. Gallen	14	3	3	8	-1	12
9	Grasshoppers	13	2	5	6	-6	11
10	Winterthur	13	1	4	8	-15	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.