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Superligaen
Referee: Morten Krogh
Nordsjaelland
T U S T S
2–1
Full-time
Brondby
S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nordsjaelland Brondby
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,0
This season — Superligaen · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 44%
52%
35%
Points per game
1,9
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
43%
52%
Both score Ø 61%
65%
57%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,4
Conceded
1,0
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

47% Possession 53%
6 Shots 20
3 Shots on target 9
2 Blocked shots 3
8 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 6
3 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nordsjaelland 2. · Brondby 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 FC Copenhagen 24 14 3 7 +23 45
2 Nordsjaelland 23 12 7 4 +17 43
3 Viborg 24 11 7 6 +9 40
4 Aarhus 24 11 6 7 +7 39
5 Randers FC 24 9 9 6 -1 36
6 Midtjylland 24 8 10 6 +6 34
7 Odense 24 8 7 9 -12 31
8 Silkeborg 23 8 6 9 -1 30
9 Brondby 23 8 6 9 -5 30
10 Horsens 23 6 5 12 -15 23
11 Aalborg 24 4 6 14 -12 18
12 Lyngby 24 3 8 13 -16 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nordsjaelland Brondby
1–0 E. Nuamah
J. Christensen
12′
2–0 M. Frese
M. Dorgeles
29′
43′
🟨 Nicolai Vallys
Half-time 2–0
Jacob Christensen 🟨
49′
B. Nygren 🔁
↦ M. Dorgeles
64′
64′
🔁 K. Mensah
↦ B. Riveros
R. Ascone 🔁
↦ W. Faghir
68′
72′
🟨 Mathias Kvistgaarden
76′
O. Omoijuanfo 2–1
77′
🔁 H. Evjen
↦ S. Hedlund
77′
🔁 J. Bell
↦ S. Sebulonsen
Andreas Hansen 🟨
78′
78′
🟨 Ohi Omoijuanfo
L. Coulibaly 🔁
↦ M. Diomandé
85′
E. Marxen 🔁
↦ D. Svensson
85′
87′
🟨 Anis Ben Slimane
88′
🔁 O. Schwartau
↦ A. Ben Slimane
88′
🔁 R. Lauritsen
↦ F. Winther
Benjamin Nygren ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
90′
Martin Frese 🟨
92′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Nordsjaelland

4-3-3
13 A. Hansen G
23 O. Villadsen D
4 K. Hansen D
39 A. Nagalo D
5 M. Frese D
29 M. Dorgeles M
6 J. Christensen M
27 D. Svensson M
37 E. Nuamah F
21 W. Faghir F
10 M. Diomandé F
Bench (9)
9 B. Nygren
36 R. Ascone
28 L. Coulibaly
15 E. Marxen
25 C. Eriksson
11 M. Hansen
47 M. Munck
32 I. Osman
30 J. Jensen-Abbew

Coach: J. Thorup

Brondby

4-3-3
1 M. Hermansen G
2 S. Sebulonsen D
18 K. Tshiembe D
4 F. Winther D
15 B. Riveros D
25 A. Ben Slimane M
10 D. Wass M
7 N. Vallys M
27 S. Hedlund F
9 O. Omoijuanfo F
36 M. Kvistgaarden F
Bench (9)
14 K. Mensah
11 H. Evjen
6 J. Bell
41 O. Schwartau
5 R. Lauritsen
32 F. Alves
16 T. Mikkelsen
23 C. Cappis
24 M. Divković

Coach: J. Sørensen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Morten Krogh · 27 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.