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Superligaen
Referee: Chrysovalantis Theouli
Odense
S S U U S
1–1
Full-time
Aalborg
U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Odense Aalborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
1,8
2,2
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,3
This season — Superligaen · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 29%
36%
21%
Points per game
1,4
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
57%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
64%
54%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,4
1,1
Conceded
1,7
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

64% Possession 36%
11 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Odense 8. · Aalborg 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Nordsjaelland 28 14 8 6 +17 50
2 FC Copenhagen 28 15 4 9 +22 49
3 Aarhus 28 13 7 8 +10 46
4 Viborg 28 13 7 8 +8 46
5 Midtjylland 28 10 11 7 +10 41
6 Randers FC 28 10 10 8 -1 40
7 Brondby 28 11 6 11 -6 39
8 Odense 28 10 9 9 -9 39
9 Silkeborg 28 8 7 13 -8 31
10 Horsens 28 7 6 15 -21 27
11 Aalborg 28 6 8 14 -7 26
12 Lyngby 28 5 9 14 -15 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Odense Aalborg
1–0 E. Sabbi
A. Mustafić
13′
44′
🟨 Kilian Ludewig
Half-time 1–0
56′
🔁 L. Andersen
↦ L. Prip
56′
🔁 J. Ahlmann
↦ K. Jørgensen
67′
Pedro Ferreira 1–1
70′
🟨 Pedro Ferreira
A. Manneh 🔁
↦ A. Mustafić
73′
F. Tongya 🔁
↦ J. Breum
73′
G. Grubbe 🔁
↦ N. Mickelson
73′
74′
🔁 M. Ramkilde
↦ N. Helenius
82′
🔁 O. Ross
↦ Y. Bakiz
C. Nouck 🔁
↦ E. Sabbi
83′
83′
🔁 S. Otoa
↦ K. Ludewig
92′
ℹ️ Lucas Andersen
VAR: Penalty cancelled
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Odense

4-2-3-1
1 M. Hansen G
2 N. Mickelson D
4 B. Paulsen D
28 T. Slotsager D
16 J. Skjelvik D
6 J. Tverskov M
24 A. Mustafić M
11 E. Sabbi M
29 M. Frøkjær-Jensen M
8 J. Breum M
9 B. Kadrii F
Bench (9)
5 A. Manneh
10 F. Tongya
14 G. Grubbe
21 C. Nouck
26 A. Muçolli
40 M. Ejdum
13 H. Christian Bernat
19 A. Þrándarson
18 M. Juwara

Coach: A. Alm

Aalborg

4-3-3
40 N. Mantl G
32 K. Ludewig D
4 L. Kramer D
5 D. Granli D
20 K. Jørgensen D
6 Pedro Ferreira M
14 M. Højholt M
8 I. Fossum M
18 L. Prip F
17 N. Helenius F
23 Y. Bakiz F
Bench (8)
10 L. Andersen
3 J. Ahlmann
29 M. Ramkilde
38 O. Ross
34 S. Otoa
19 A. Ementa
24 J. Skulstad
22 T. Sander

Coach: O. Hiljemark

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.