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2. Bundesliga
Referee: F Zwayer
Magdeburg
U T S S U
2–2
Full-time
Nurnberg
U T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Magdeburg Nurnberg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,5
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 32%
35%
29%
Points per game
1,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
68%
45%
Both score Ø 48%
61%
35%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,4
0,9
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

56% Possession 44%
13 Shots 18
4 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 6
4 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Magdeburg 11. · Nurnberg 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Darmstadt 31 19 7 5 +21 64
2 Heidenheim 31 17 10 4 +30 61
3 Hamburg 31 17 6 8 +19 57
4 St Pauli 31 15 8 8 +15 53
5 Fortuna Dusseldorf 31 16 5 10 +14 53
6 Paderborn 31 15 6 10 +24 51
7 Kaiserslautern 31 11 12 8 +5 45
8 Karlsruhe 31 12 6 13 +2 42
9 Hannover 31 11 7 13 -2 40
10 Holstein Kiel 31 10 10 11 -7 40
11 Magdeburg 31 11 6 14 -10 39
12 Greuther Furth 31 9 10 12 -6 37
13 Braunschweig 31 9 8 14 -15 35
14 Nurnberg 31 9 7 15 -18 34
15 Hansa Rostock 31 10 4 17 -18 34
16 Bielefeld 31 8 6 17 -9 30
17 Regensburg 31 7 7 17 -20 28
18 Sandhausen 31 7 7 17 -25 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Nov -22 Nurnberg – Magdeburg 1–2

Match report

Magdeburg Nurnberg
30′
🟨 Fabian Nürnberger
34′
🟨 Lino Tempelmann
0–1 J. Horn
own goal
34′
44′
🟨 Florian Flick
Half-time 0–2
54′
F. Lohkemper 0–2
L. Tempelmann
55′
🔁 T. Duman
↦ F. Nürnberger
J. Lawrence 🔁
↦ C. Piccini
63′
M. Kwarteng 🔁
↦ M. El Hankouri
63′
1–2 J. Ceka
H. Bockhorn
68′
76′
🟨 Taylan Duman
76′
🔁 L. Schleimer
↦ J. Castrop
76′
🔁 J. Geis
↦ F. Flick
T. Ito 🔁
↦ J. Ceka
79′
81′
F. Lohkemper 1–3
L. Schleimer
83′
ℹ️ Felix Lohkemper
VAR: Goal confirmed
L. Schuler 🔁
↦ M. Kwarteng
87′
K. Brünker 🔁
↦ B. Atik
87′
91′
🔁 C. Uzun
↦ K. Duah
91′
🔁 P. Köpke
↦ M. Dæhli
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Magdeburg

4-3-3
28 T. Boss G
7 H. Bockhorn D
2 C. Piccini D
15 D. Heber D
19 L. Bell Bell D
29 A. Condé M
6 D. Elfadli M
25 S. Gnaka M
10 J. Ceka F
11 M. El Hankouri F
23 B. Atik F
Bench (9)
5 J. Lawrence
8 M. Kwarteng
37 T. Ito
26 L. Schuler
9 K. Brünker
22 T. Sechelmann
31 M. Ullmann
30 N. Kruth
24 A. Bittroff

Coach: C. Titz

Nurnberg

4-3-1-2
1 C. Klaus G
17 J. Castrop D
4 J. Lawrence D
38 J. Horn D
35 N. Brown D
6 L. Tempelmann M
21 F. Flick M
15 F. Nürnberger M
10 M. Dæhli M
23 K. Duah F
7 F. Lohkemper F
Bench (9)
8 T. Duman
36 L. Schleimer
5 J. Geis
42 C. Uzun
20 P. Köpke
29 T. Handwerker
33 C. Daferner
3 S. Fofana
44 N. Kemlein

Coach: D. Hecking

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,11
U ✓
3,63
B
3,22
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,65
U2,5
2,20
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Zwayer · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.