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Superligaen
Referee: Jacob A Sundberg
Aalborg
U U U S S
4–0
Full-time
Horsens
T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalborg Horsens
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,0
This season — Superligaen · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 23%
19%
26%
Points per game
0,9
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
48%
56%
Both score Ø 54%
56%
52%
Average goals
2,5
2,9
Scored
1,0
1,1
Conceded
1,4
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%
21 Shots 5
10 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 2
4 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aalborg 11. · Horsens 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 FC Copenhagen 27 15 4 8 +23 49
2 Nordsjaelland 27 13 8 6 +16 47
3 Viborg 27 13 7 7 +11 46
4 Aarhus 27 12 7 8 +7 43
5 Midtjylland 27 10 11 6 +11 41
6 Randers FC 27 10 10 7 +1 40
7 Brondby 27 10 6 11 -8 36
8 Odense 27 9 9 9 -10 36
9 Silkeborg 27 8 7 12 -7 31
10 Horsens 27 7 6 14 -17 27
11 Aalborg 27 5 8 14 -11 23
12 Lyngby 27 4 9 14 -16 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aalborg Horsens
28′
🟨 James Gomez
1–0 Y. Bakiz
Allan Sousa
37′
Half-time 1–0
K. Pallesen 🔁
↦ K. Ludewig
46′
Iver Fossum ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
50′
2–0 I. Fossum
K. Pallesen
54′
58′
🔁 A. Sigurðarson
↦ J. Gemmer
L. Andersen 🔁
↦ Allan Sousa
59′
S. Otoa 🔁
↦ K. Jørgensen
71′
71′
🔁 S. Iyede
↦ M. Lassen
3–0 Y. Bakiz
L. Andersen
72′
74′
🟨 Samson Iyede
M. Ramkilde 🔁
↦ I. Fossum
75′
O. Ross 🔁
↦ Y. Bakiz
75′
4–0 O. Ross
82′
83′
🔁 J. Beluli
↦ M. Opondo
83′
🔁 M. Hannesbo
↦ L. Musonda
84′
🔁 H. Toftegaard
↦ D. Kruse
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Aalborg

4-3-3
40 N. Mantl G
32 K. Ludewig D
4 L. Kramer D
5 D. Granli D
20 K. Jørgensen D
23 Y. Bakiz M
14 M. Højholt M
8 I. Fossum M
18 L. Prip F
17 N. Helenius F
7 Allan Sousa F
Bench (8)
2 K. Pallesen
10 L. Andersen
34 S. Otoa
29 M. Ramkilde
38 O. Ross
24 J. Skulstad
22 T. Sander
19 A. Ementa

Coach: O. Hiljemark

Horsens

3-4-3
1 M. Delač G
21 J. Gomez D
4 M. Kiilerich D
17 M. Lassen D
18 T. Santos M
6 M. Opondo M
14 J. Gemmer M
24 L. Musonda M
23 D. Kruse F
9 A. Jacobsen F
27 E. Just F
Bench (9)
11 A. Sigurðarson
26 S. Iyede
29 J. Beluli
19 M. Hannesbo
32 H. Toftegaard
28 A. Saine
22 T. Stagaard
16 S. Brolin
33 A. Ludwig

Coach: J. Askou

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jacob A Sundberg · 21 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.