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Superligaen
Referee: Morten Krogh
Aalborg
T T U U U
1–0
Full-time
Lyngby
U U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalborg Lyngby
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
This season — Superligaen · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 15%
15%
15%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
50%
42%
Both score Ø 56%
58%
54%
Average goals
2,5
2,6
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
8 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 9
3 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aalborg 12. · Lyngby 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 FC Copenhagen 26 15 4 7 +24 49
2 Nordsjaelland 26 13 8 5 +17 47
3 Viborg 26 12 7 7 +9 43
4 Aarhus 26 11 7 8 +6 40
5 Randers FC 26 10 10 6 +3 40
6 Midtjylland 26 9 11 6 +8 38
7 Odense 27 9 9 9 -10 36
8 Brondby 26 9 6 11 -9 33
9 Silkeborg 26 8 7 11 -4 31
10 Horsens 27 7 6 14 -17 27
11 Lyngby 26 4 9 13 -15 21
12 Aalborg 26 4 8 14 -12 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aalborg Lyngby
Allan Sousa 🟨
19′
Pedro Ferreira 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–0
Y. Bakiz 🔁
↦ Pedro Ferreira
46′
54′
🟨 Marcel Rømer
K. Jørgensen 🔁
↦ L. Prip
58′
L. Andersen 🔁
↦ K. Pallesen
58′
69′
🔁 R. Çorlu
↦ P. Knudsen
Rasmus Thelander ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
73′
74′
🟨 Pascal Gregor
1–0 Allan Sousa
75′
J. Ahlmann 🔁
↦ D. Granli
76′
77′
🔁 C. Winther
↦ M. Rømer
77′
🔁 S. Ngabo
↦ K. Finnsson
85′
🔁 M. Kristensen
↦ T. Chukwuani
M. Ramkilde 🔁
↦ Allan Sousa
87′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Aalborg

4-3-3
40 N. Mantl G
2 K. Pallesen D
4 L. Kramer D
26 R. Thelander D
5 D. Granli D
6 Pedro Ferreira M
14 M. Højholt M
8 I. Fossum M
18 L. Prip F
17 N. Helenius F
7 Allan Sousa F
Bench (9)
23 Y. Bakiz
20 K. Jørgensen
10 L. Andersen
3 J. Ahlmann
29 M. Ramkilde
19 A. Ementa
32 K. Ludewig
34 S. Otoa
22 T. Sander

Coach: O. Hiljemark

Lyngby

5-3-2
16 M. Kikkenborg G
24 T. Storm D
23 P. Gregor D
29 L. Hey D
3 B. Hämäläinen D
20 K. Finnsson D
21 S. Magnússon M
30 M. Rømer M
42 T. Chukwuani M
26 F. Gytkjær F
8 P. Knudsen F
Bench (9)
10 R. Çorlu
13 C. Winther
19 S. Ngabo
9 M. Kristensen
40 J. Storch
12 S. Koch
22 P. Bizoza
25 G. Mortensen
2 M. Juhl

Coach: F. Alexandersson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Morten Krogh · 27 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.