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Superligaen
Referee: Jens Maae
Aarhus
S S U T S
3–3
Full-time
Brondby
S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aarhus Brondby
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,5
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,2
This season — Superligaen · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 42%
45%
39%
Points per game
1,6
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
32%
55%
Both score Ø 52%
45%
58%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
0,9
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

44% Possession 56%
9 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
5 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Aarhus 4. · Brondby 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 FC Copenhagen 31 18 4 9 +26 58
2 Nordsjaelland 31 15 9 7 +15 54
3 Midtjylland 32 13 12 7 +16 51
4 Aarhus 31 14 8 9 +11 50
5 Viborg 31 14 8 9 +9 50
6 Odense 32 12 10 10 -6 46
7 Brondby 31 12 7 12 -4 43
8 Silkeborg 32 11 8 13 -5 41
9 Randers FC 31 10 10 11 -7 40
10 Lyngby 32 6 10 16 -19 28
11 Horsens 32 7 7 18 -25 28
12 Aalborg 32 6 9 17 -11 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aarhus Brondby
11′
O. Omoijuanfo 0–1
M. Kvistgaarden
23′
🔁 F. Winther
↦ K. Tshiembe
Kevin Yakob 🟥
37′
38′
J. Radošević 0–2
Half-time 0–2
F. Brandhof 🔁
↦ P. Bjur
46′
52′
🟨 Rasmus Lauritsen
E. Kahl 🔁
↦ M. Anderson
60′
62′
🔁 M. Greve
↦ H. Evjen
62′
🔁 D. Wass
↦ R. Lauritsen
67′
M. Kvistgaarden 0–3
M. Greve
J. Duin 🔁
↦ M. Duelund
71′
1–3 J. Duin
F. Beijmo
74′
Jelle Duin ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
78′
80′
🟥 Kevin Mensah
2–3 P. Mortensen
81′
84′
🟨 Nicolai Vallys
84′
🔁 S. Sebulonsen
↦ M. Kvistgaarden
3–3 J. Duin
F. Tingager
85′
Jelle Duin 🟨
86′
96′
🟨 Ohi Omoijuanfo
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Aarhus

3-4-2-1
1 J. Hansen G
14 T. Mølgaard D
5 F. Tingager D
4 Y. Aurel Bisseck D
2 F. Beijmo M
17 K. Yakob M
8 M. Anderson M
11 G. Links M
21 P. Bjur F
20 M. Duelund F
9 P. Mortensen F
Bench (9)
29 F. Brandhof
19 E. Kahl
18 J. Duin
16 P. Kristian Bråtveit
42 J. Andersen
23 T. Thiesson Kristensen
28 A. Daghim
41 M. Sauer
15 O. Lund

Coach: U. Rösler

Brondby

3-5-2
1 M. Hermansen G
32 F. Alves D
5 R. Lauritsen D
18 K. Tshiembe D
14 K. Mensah M
11 H. Evjen M
22 J. Radošević M
7 N. Vallys M
15 B. Riveros M
9 O. Omoijuanfo F
36 M. Kvistgaarden F
Bench (9)
4 F. Winther
8 M. Greve
10 D. Wass
2 S. Sebulonsen
41 O. Schwartau
25 A. Ben Slimane
16 T. Mikkelsen
27 S. Hedlund
6 J. Bell

Coach: J. Sørensen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jens Maae · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.