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Superligaen
Referee: M Redder
FC Copenhagen
S T U S T
2–0
Full-time
Aalborg
T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Copenhagen Aalborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,0
4,0
Scored
1,7
2,2
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 44%
50%
38%
Points per game
1,8
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
50%
75%
Both score Ø 57%
75%
38%
Average goals
3,1
3,1
Scored
1,9
0,9
Conceded
1,3
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-1,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

3,33 xG 0,01
69% Possession 31%
28 Shots 2
6 Shots on target 0
6 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 2
1 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match FC Copenhagen 5. · Aalborg 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Midtjylland 9 6 3 0 +9 +6.0 21
2 Aarhus 9 5 3 1 +14 +1.6 18
3 Silkeborg 9 5 2 2 +6 +0.3 17
4 Brondby 9 4 3 2 +6 +5.7 15
5 FC Copenhagen 8 4 2 2 +5 +4.3 14
6 Randers FC 9 3 4 2 +1 +0.2 13
7 Viborg 9 3 3 3 +3 -2.4 12
8 Nordsjaelland 9 3 3 3 -1 +5.2 12
9 Aalborg 8 3 0 5 -11 -5.1 9
10 Sonderjyske 9 2 2 5 -8 -8.5 8
11 Lyngby 9 1 3 5 -6 -2.7 6
12 Vejle 9 0 0 9 -18 -4.6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

FC Copenhagen Aalborg
Giorgi Gocholeishvili 🟨
35′
Half-time 0–0
Thomas Delaney 🟨
48′
59′
🔁 M. Bomholt
↦ A. Bruus
A. Cornelius 🔁
↦ G. Onugkha
61′
1–0 M. Mattsson
E. Achouri
63′
66′
🔁 B. Pudel
↦ A. Jasson
66′
🔁 J. Adedeji
↦ N. Helenius
2–0 M. Elyounoussi
K. Diks
72′
74′
🟨 Bjarne Pudel
Robert 🔁
↦ E. Achouri
77′
V. Claesson 🔁
↦ M. Mattsson
77′
79′
🔁 M. Nielsen
↦ M. Jiménez
79′
🔁 A. Diagne
↦ K. Davidsen
V. Froholdt 🔁
↦ M. Elyounoussi
84′
R. Huescas 🔁
↦ G. Gocholeishvili
84′
89′
🟨 Oumar Diakhité
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

FC Copenhagen

4-2-3-1
1 N. Trott G
22 G. Gocholeishvili D
5 Gabriel Pereira D
6 P. Hatzidiakos D
2 K. Diks D
12 L. Lerager M
27 T. Delaney M
10 M. Elyounoussi M
8 M. Mattsson M
30 E. Achouri M
9 G. Onugkha F
Bench (8)
14 A. Cornelius
16 Robert
7 V. Claesson
17 V. Froholdt
13 R. Huescas
31 R. Rúnarsson
38 O. Højer
4 M. Garan'anga

Coach: J. Neestrup

Aalborg

4-4-2
22 R. de Boer G
20 K. Jørgensen D
4 L. Kramer D
2 O. Diakhité D
6 M. Jiménez D
14 A. Bruus M
8 M. Widell M
16 K. Davidsen M
17 A. Jasson M
9 N. Helenius F
11 M. Jørgensen F
Bench (8)
21 M. Bomholt
13 B. Pudel
7 J. Adedeji
5 M. Nielsen
37 A. Diagne
40 B. Pedersen
47 V. Damgaard
27 K. John

Coach: M. van Dam

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Redder · 57 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.