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Superligaen
Referee: M Krogh
FC Copenhagen
T U S T U
3–1
Full-time
Brondby
T T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Copenhagen Brondby
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
1,8
2,2
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,49 xG 1,91
28% Possession 72%
5 Shots 18
4 Shots on target 8
0 Blocked shots 4
7 Goalkeeper saves 1
0 Corners 10
1 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 0
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match FC Copenhagen 5. · Brondby 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Aarhus 7 5 1 1 +14 +1.6 16
2 Silkeborg 6 5 0 1 +8 +1.0 15
3 Midtjylland 6 4 2 0 +6 +6.3 14
4 Brondby 6 3 2 1 +6 +5.0 11
5 FC Copenhagen 6 3 2 1 +4 +4.8 11
6 Nordsjaelland 7 3 2 2 +0 +3.6 11
7 Randers FC 6 2 2 2 +0 -0.2 8
8 Aalborg 6 2 0 4 -11 -5.1 6
9 Viborg 6 1 2 3 -3 -2.5 5
10 Lyngby 7 1 2 4 -5 -2.7 5
11 Sonderjyske 6 1 1 4 -7 -8.2 4
12 Vejle 7 0 0 7 -12 -3.6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

FC Copenhagen Brondby
1–0 Gabriel Pereira
M. Mattsson
4′
Giorgi Gocholeishvili ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
15′
2–0 K. Diks
17′
Viktor Claesson 🟨
20′
Marcos López ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
42′
Marcos López 🟥
43′
M. Garan'anga 🔁
↦ M. Mattsson
44′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 N. Vallys
↦ J. Radošević
61′
M. Kvistgaarden 2–1
S. Sebulonsen
T. Delaney 🔁
↦ E. Achouri
64′
71′
🔁 M. Divković
↦ S. Sebulonsen
3–1 M. Elyounoussi
V. Claesson
75′
82′
🔁 F. Bundgaard
↦ Y. Suzuki
82′
🔁 E. Yeboah
↦ N. Nartey
90′
🔁 S. Spierings
↦ N. Vallys
Gabriel Pereira 🟨
92′
A. Chiakha 🔁
↦ G. Gocholeishvili
92′
Amin Chiakha 🟨
94′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

FC Copenhagen

4-3-3
1 N. Trott G
22 G. Gocholeishvili D
2 K. Diks D
5 Gabriel Pereira D
15 M. López D
10 M. Elyounoussi M
12 L. Lerager M
8 M. Mattsson M
47 V. Froholdt F
7 V. Claesson F
30 E. Achouri F
Bench (7)
4 M. Garan'anga
27 T. Delaney
45 A. Chiakha
38 O. Højer
16 Robert
58 H. Bidstrup
31 R. Rúnarsson

Coach: J. Neestrup

Brondby

3-5-2
1 P. Pentz G
31 S. Klaiber D
32 F. Alves D
4 J. Rasmussen D
2 S. Sebulonsen M
22 J. Radošević M
10 D. Wass M
35 N. Nartey M
37 C. Bischoff M
28 Y. Suzuki F
36 M. Kvistgaarden F
Bench (9)
7 N. Vallys
24 M. Divković
11 F. Bundgaard
99 E. Yeboah
6 S. Spierings
34 L. Vraa-Jensen
18 K. Tshiembe
5 R. Lauritsen
16 T. Mikkelsen

Coach: J. Sørensen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Krogh · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.