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Superligaen
Referee: Jakob Kehlet
FC Copenhagen
U S S S S
1–0
Full-time
Aalborg
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Copenhagen Aalborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,7
3,7
Scored
2,3
1,2
Conceded
0,3
2,5
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-1,3
This season — Superligaen · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
56%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
56%
61%
Average goals
2,8
2,6
Scored
1,7
0,9
Conceded
1,1
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

66% Possession 34%
26 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 1
9 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match FC Copenhagen 3. · Aalborg 11. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Nordsjaelland 19 11 6 2 +18 39
2 Viborg 19 10 5 4 +8 35
3 FC Copenhagen 18 9 3 6 +11 30
4 Randers FC 19 7 7 5 -2 28
5 Midtjylland 18 6 8 4 +6 26
6 Aarhus 18 7 4 7 +2 25
7 Odense 19 6 7 6 -4 25
8 Silkeborg 18 7 3 8 -1 24
9 Brondby 18 6 6 6 -2 24
10 Horsens 19 6 4 9 -6 22
11 Aalborg 18 3 5 10 -12 14
12 Lyngby 19 1 6 12 -18 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

24. Jul -22 Aalborg – FC Copenhagen 1–3 22. May -22 FC Copenhagen – Aalborg 3–0 3. Apr -22 Aalborg – FC Copenhagen 0–1 28. Nov -21 Aalborg – FC Copenhagen 1–3 18. Jul -21 FC Copenhagen – Aalborg 2–2

Match report

FC Copenhagen Aalborg
40′
ℹ️ Allan Sousa
VAR: Goal cancelled
Half-time 1–0
1–0 V. Claesson ⚽
E. Jelert
62′
64′
🟨 Lars Kramer
66′
🔁 M. Ramkilde
↦ N. Helenius
66′
🔁 Pedro Ferreira
↦ L. Andersen
70′
🟨 Rasmus Thelander
73′
🔁 Y. Bakiz
↦ L. Prip
75′
🟨 Kasper Jørgensen
R. Bardghji 🔁
↦ Diogo Gonçalves
76′
J. Larsson 🔁
↦ H. Haraldsson
80′
80′
🔁 A. Ementa
↦ I. Fossum
W. Clem 🔁
↦ R. Falk
83′
87′
🟨 Younes Bakiz
91′
🟨 Anosike Ementa
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

FC Copenhagen

4-3-3
1 K. Grabara G
19 E. Jelert
3 D. Vavro D
5 D. Khocholava D
6 C. Sørensen D
12 L. Lerager M
33 R. Falk M
7 V. Claesson M
9 Diogo Gonçalves F
30 H. Haraldsson F
15 M. Daramy F
Bench (9)
40 R. Bardghji
25 J. Larsson
36 W. Clem
27 V. Lund Jensen
35 M. Stamenić
21 K. Johnsson
22 P. Ankersen
2 K. Diks
8 Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson

Coach: J. Neestrup

Aalborg

4-2-3-1
22 T. Sander G
20 K. Jørgensen D
4 L. Kramer D
26 R. Thelander D
5 D. Granli D
8 I. Fossum M
14 M. Højholt M
18 L. Prip M
10 L. Andersen M
7 Allan Sousa M
17 N. Helenius F
Bench (9)
29 M. Ramkilde
6 Pedro Ferreira
23 Y. Bakiz
19 A. Ementa
38 O. Ross
40 N. Mantl
32 K. Ludewig
3 J. Ahlmann
2 K. Pallesen

Coach: E. Hamrén

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Jakob Kehlet · 22 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.