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Superligaen

Referee: J Kehlet

Midtjylland

U S S S U

3–3

Full-time

Viborg

T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Midtjylland Viborg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,0

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 50%

55%

45%

Points per game

2,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

62%

59%

Both score Ø 61%

62%

59%

Average goals

3,3

2,9

Scored

2,3

1,5

Conceded

1,0

1,4

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

1,37 xG 1,53

57% Possession 43%

13 Shots 10

7 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

8 Corners 0

1 Offside 1

17 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Midtjylland 2. · Viborg 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aarhus	30	17	10	3	+24	+21.5	61
2	Midtjylland	29	16	10	3	+37	+8.2	58
3	Nordsjaelland	30	14	4	12	+2	-2.3	46
4	FC Copenhagen	30	13	6	11	+14	+22.3	45
5	Viborg	29	13	4	12	+3	-2.6	43
6	Brondby	30	12	6	12	+10	+10.7	42
7	Sonderjyske	30	11	8	11	-3	-5.9	41
8	Odense	30	11	7	12	-8	+5.7	40
9	Silkeborg	30	10	6	14	-19	-21.6	36
10	Randers FC	30	9	7	14	-9	+7.5	34
11	Fredericia	30	8	7	15	-24	-23.9	31
12	Vejle	30	3	9	18	-27	-19.7	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aarhus	15	9	4	2	+13	+17.7	31
2	Midtjylland	14	8	5	1	+20	+7.1	29
3	Nordsjaelland	15	9	2	4	+12	+9.6	29
4	Sonderjyske	15	8	3	4	+8	+1.8	27
5	Odense	15	7	3	5	-1	+9.0	24
6	Viborg	15	7	2	6	+3	-4.6	23
7	FC Copenhagen	15	6	4	5	+9	+19.4	22
8	Brondby	15	6	4	5	+9	+6.7	22
9	Silkeborg	15	5	4	6	-4	-3.7	19
10	Randers FC	15	5	3	7	-6	+2.4	18
11	Vejle	15	3	4	8	-6	-4.7	13
12	Fredericia	15	3	4	8	-16	-6.8	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aarhus	15	8	6	1	+11	+3.8	30
2	Midtjylland	15	8	5	2	+17	+1.1	29
3	FC Copenhagen	15	7	2	6	+5	+2.9	23
4	Brondby	15	6	2	7	+1	+4.0	20
5	Viborg	14	6	2	6	+0	+2.0	20
6	Fredericia	15	5	3	7	-8	-17.1	18
7	Nordsjaelland	15	5	2	8	-10	-11.9	17
8	Silkeborg	15	5	2	8	-15	-17.9	17
9	Randers FC	15	4	4	7	-3	+5.1	16
10	Odense	15	4	4	7	-7	-3.3	16
11	Sonderjyske	15	3	5	7	-11	-7.6	14
12	Vejle	15	0	5	10	-21	-14.9	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.