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Superligaen

Referee: J Maae

Midtjylland

U S T T U

2–2

Full-time

Sonderjyske

S U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Midtjylland Sonderjyske

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

1,5

1,8

Scored

0,7

0,8

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 48%

54%

42%

Points per game

2,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

58%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

58%

Average goals

3,5

2,8

Scored

2,5

1,5

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,4

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,90 xG 1,98

55% Possession 45%

18 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

9 Corners 5

3 Offside 3

15 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Midtjylland 2. · Sonderjyske 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aarhus	24	15	7	2	+23	+17.1	52
2	Midtjylland	24	13	8	3	+34	+8.7	47
3	Sonderjyske	24	10	7	7	+4	+0.0	37
4	Viborg	24	11	4	9	+3	-0.9	37
5	Nordsjaelland	24	12	1	11	+1	-0.7	37
6	Brondby	24	10	5	9	+8	+5.5	35
7	Odense	24	8	7	9	-9	+4.0	31
8	FC Copenhagen	24	8	5	11	-1	+16.2	29
9	Randers FC	24	8	5	11	-5	+4.3	29
10	Fredericia	24	8	3	13	-21	-23.6	27
11	Silkeborg	24	6	5	13	-18	-16.8	23
12	Vejle	24	3	7	14	-19	-13.9	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aarhus	12	8	2	2	+12	+15.3	26
2	Midtjylland	12	7	4	1	+19	+8.8	25
3	Sonderjyske	12	7	3	2	+8	+2.7	24
4	Nordsjaelland	12	7	1	4	+10	+6.8	22
5	Viborg	12	6	2	4	+4	-3.7	20
6	Brondby	12	5	3	4	+4	+2.0	18
7	Odense	12	5	3	4	-3	+6.1	18
8	Randers FC	12	4	2	6	-6	+0.2	14
9	FC Copenhagen	12	3	4	5	-2	+13.6	13
10	Vejle	12	3	3	6	-2	-3.4	12
11	Silkeborg	12	3	3	6	-8	-3.2	12
12	Fredericia	12	3	2	7	-14	-8.6	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aarhus	12	7	5	0	+11	+1.8	26
2	Midtjylland	12	6	4	2	+15	-0.0	22
3	Brondby	12	5	2	5	+4	+3.5	17
4	Viborg	12	5	2	5	-1	+2.8	17
5	FC Copenhagen	12	5	1	6	+1	+2.6	16
6	Fredericia	12	5	1	6	-7	-15.0	16
7	Randers FC	12	4	3	5	+1	+4.1	15
8	Nordsjaelland	12	5	0	7	-9	-7.5	15
9	Sonderjyske	12	3	4	5	-4	-2.7	13
10	Odense	12	3	4	5	-6	-2.1	13
11	Silkeborg	12	3	2	7	-10	-13.6	11
12	Vejle	12	0	4	8	-17	-10.5	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.