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Superligaen
Referee: S Putros
Midtjylland
S S S T S
2–0
Full-time
Viborg
T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Midtjylland Viborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,3
Scored
2,7
1,2
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 44%
50%
38%
Points per game
1,9
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
63%
63%
Both score Ø 63%
63%
63%
Average goals
4,1
3,0
Scored
2,6
1,4
Conceded
1,5
1,6
Goal diff per game
+1,1
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,07 xG 0,36
49% Possession 51%
14 Shots 4
10 Shots on target 0
4 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 8
5 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 16
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Midtjylland 3. · Viborg 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Aarhus 8 5 2 1 +9 +4.5 17
2 FC Copenhagen 8 5 1 2 +9 +4.7 16
3 Midtjylland 8 4 3 1 +9 -0.1 15
4 Brondby 8 5 0 3 +2 +3.8 15
5 Nordsjaelland 8 4 0 4 -2 +0.2 12
6 Fredericia 9 3 2 4 -3 -5.4 11
7 Odense 9 3 2 4 -6 +4.6 11
8 Sonderjyske 8 3 1 4 -2 -5.4 10
9 Randers FC 8 3 1 4 -5 -0.9 10
10 Viborg 8 3 0 5 -2 -0.8 9
11 Silkeborg 8 3 0 5 -6 +0.5 9
12 Vejle 8 1 2 5 -3 -5.6 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Midtjylland Viborg
Ousmane Diao 🟨
6′
Martin Erlić 🟨
13′
17′
🟨 Daniel Anyembe
Half-time 0–0
Cho Gue-Sung 🔁
↦ A. Simsir
46′
Paulinho 🔁
↦ A. Gabriel
46′
K. Mbabu 🔁
↦ V. Bak
46′
60′
🔁 A. Beck
↦ M. Sondergaard
60′
🔁 D. Hanza
↦ T. Freriks
69′
🟨 Srđan Kuzmić
71′
🔁 B. Brahimi
↦ C. Nouck
71′
🔁 H. Bidstrup
↦ S. Kuzmic
79′
🔁 J. Vester
1–0 P. Billing
79′
E. Chilufya 🔁
↦ Franculino
81′
V. Byskov 🔁
↦ M. Erlic
81′
Júnior Brumado 🟨
84′
2–0 Cho Gue-Sung
90′
Mads Bech Sørensen 🟨
94′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Midtjylland

3-5-2
16 E. Olafsson G
4 O. Diao D
6 M. Erlic D
22 M. Bech Sorensen D
13 A. Gabriel M
21 D. Castillo M
8 P. Billing M
58 A. Simsir M
55 V. Bak M
7 Franculino F
74 Junior Brumado F
Bench (9)
1 J. Lossl
3 Lee Han-Beom
10 Cho Gue-Sung
14 E. Chilufya
20 V. Byskov
29 Paulinho
43 K. Mbabu
90 F. Etim
33 A. Djabi

Coach: Mike Tullberg

Viborg

4-3-3
1 L. Lund G
18 J. Mbom D
24 D. Anyembe D
55 S. Radic D
30 S. Kuzmic D
10 T. Jorgensen M
13 J. Gronning M
6 M. Sondergaard M
29 S. Jalal F
9 T. Freriks F
11 C. Nouck F
Bench (9)
16 F. Djukic
4 M. Hoedemakers
5 Z. Zaletel
8 A. Beck
19 D. Hanza
21 B. Brahimi
26 H. Bidstrup
32 L. Kirkegaard
37 J. Vester

Coach: Nickolai Lund

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Putros · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.