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Superligaen

Referee: M Krogh

Brondby

U U T U T

1–2

Full-time

Midtjylland

S T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brondby Midtjylland

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

0,8

2,2

Scored

0,2

1,0

Conceded

0,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 46%

40%

52%

Points per game

1,4

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

40%

60%

Both score Ø 48%

36%

60%

Average goals

2,3

3,5

Scored

1,3

2,4

Conceded

1,0

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,59 xG 1,76

55% Possession 45%

13 Shots 12

5 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 9

2 Offside 1

20 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Brondby 6. · Midtjylland 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aarhus	26	16	8	2	+24	+21.0	56
2	Midtjylland	25	13	9	3	+34	+8.6	48
3	Nordsjaelland	26	13	2	11	+2	-2.0	41
4	Viborg	26	12	4	10	+4	-2.8	40
5	Sonderjyske	26	10	8	8	+2	+0.2	38
6	Brondby	25	10	5	10	+7	+4.7	35
7	Odense	26	9	7	10	-10	+4.9	34
8	FC Copenhagen	25	9	5	11	+6	+18.5	32
9	Randers FC	25	8	6	11	-5	+4.4	30
10	Fredericia	25	8	3	14	-22	-24.2	27
11	Silkeborg	26	7	5	14	-23	-19.3	26
12	Vejle	25	3	8	14	-19	-14.0	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aarhus	13	8	3	2	+12	+17.4	27
2	Midtjylland	13	7	5	1	+19	+8.7	26
3	Nordsjaelland	13	8	1	4	+11	+7.7	25
4	Sonderjyske	13	7	3	3	+6	+2.8	24
5	Odense	13	6	3	4	-2	+6.7	21
6	Viborg	13	6	2	5	+3	-5.4	20
7	Brondby	12	5	3	4	+4	+2.0	18
8	FC Copenhagen	13	4	4	5	+5	+15.9	16
9	Silkeborg	13	4	3	6	-6	-3.4	15
10	Randers FC	12	4	2	6	-6	+0.2	14
11	Vejle	13	3	4	6	-2	-3.4	13
12	Fredericia	12	3	2	7	-14	-8.6	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aarhus	13	8	5	0	+12	+3.5	29
2	Midtjylland	12	6	4	2	+15	-0.0	22
3	Viborg	13	6	2	5	+1	+2.7	20
4	Brondby	13	5	2	6	+3	+2.6	17
5	FC Copenhagen	12	5	1	6	+1	+2.6	16
6	Randers FC	13	4	4	5	+1	+4.2	16
7	Fredericia	13	5	1	7	-8	-15.6	16
8	Nordsjaelland	13	5	1	7	-9	-9.6	16
9	Sonderjyske	13	3	5	5	-4	-2.6	14
10	Odense	13	3	4	6	-8	-1.9	13
11	Silkeborg	13	3	2	8	-17	-15.9	11
12	Vejle	12	0	4	8	-17	-10.5	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.