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Allsvenskan
Hammarby
U S S U T
3–3
Full-time
Kalmar
T S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hammarby Kalmar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,5
0,7
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,0
This season — Allsvenskan · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 27%
35%
18%
Points per game
1,4
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
59%
59%
Both score Ø 56%
59%
53%
Average goals
2,6
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,1
Conceded
1,4
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Hammarby 8. · Kalmar 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Malmo FF 17 11 5 1 +19 38
2 Hacken 18 9 6 3 +14 33
3 Elfsborg 17 8 7 2 +6 31
4 Djurgarden 18 9 3 6 +8 30
5 Norrkoping 17 8 4 5 +11 28
6 Sirius 18 7 7 4 +3 28
7 Mjallby 18 6 6 6 -2 24
8 Hammarby 17 6 6 5 -2 24
9 Ostersunds 18 6 6 6 -2 24
10 Varberg 18 6 5 7 +1 23
11 Goteborg 18 2 11 5 -7 17
12 Orebro 17 4 5 8 -7 17
13 AIK 18 4 5 9 -9 17
14 Helsingborg 18 3 7 8 -12 16
15 Falkenbergs 18 2 7 9 -10 13
16 Kalmar 17 3 4 10 -11 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.