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Eliteserien
Referee: Dag Vidar Hafsaas
Start
S T T S T
1–0
Full-time
Aalesund
S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Start Aalesund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
4,5
4,5
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
3,0
2,8
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-1,2
This season — Eliteserien · 16/15 matches
Win Ø 10%
13%
7%
Points per game
0,8
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
63%
87%
Both score Ø 69%
50%
87%
Average goals
3,2
4,5
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
2,1
3,1
Goal diff per game
-1,1
-1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%
16 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 0
14 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Start 15. · Aalesund 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 15 13 2 0 +35 41
2 Molde 16 11 1 4 +26 34
3 Odd 15 9 1 5 +6 28
4 Rosenborg 15 8 3 4 +14 27
5 Valerenga 16 7 5 4 +0 26
6 Kristiansund 15 6 6 3 +10 24
7 Brann 16 6 4 6 -1 22
8 Haugesund 16 6 3 7 -6 21
9 Stromsgodset 16 5 4 7 -9 19
10 Stabaek 15 4 6 5 -4 18
11 Sarpsborg 08 15 5 2 8 -4 17
12 Viking 15 4 4 7 -7 16
13 Sandefjord 15 5 1 9 -10 16
14 Mjondalen 15 4 2 9 -8 14
15 Start 16 2 6 8 -17 12
16 Aalesund 15 1 4 10 -25 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Start Aalesund
1–0 I. Twum
29′
Joakim Jørgensen 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–0
E. Børufsen 🔁
↦ M. Ugland
46′
62′
🔁 S. Nordli
↦ I. Määttä
62′
🔁 Nenass
↦ P. Bizoza
E. Segberg 🔁
↦ J. Jørgensen
67′
H. Robstad 🔁
↦ K. Tønnessen
83′
83′
🔁 S. Sno
↦ J. Hatlehol
Kevin Kabran 🟨
90′
Espen Børufsen 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Jonas Gronner
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Start

4-3-3
1 J. Deumeland G
6 J. Jørgensen M
3 V. Bergan D
27 E. Wichne D
22 K. Tønnessen D
2 J. Daland D
11 E. Schulze M
19 K. Skaanes F
18 I. Twum M
16 M. Ugland F
7 K. Kabran F
Bench (8)
14 E. Børufsen
23 E. Segberg
15 H. Robstad
12 A. Wichne
32 J. Eftevaag
10 S. Skålevik
17 A. Akinyemi
8 E. Marković

Coach: J. Hardarson

Aalesund

4-3-3
1 A. Lie G
4 J. Grønner D
3 D. Grétarsson D
18 D. Ólafsson D
16 J. Hatlehol D
20 P. Bizoza M
8 F. Carlsen M
38 I. Määttä M
10 H. Fridjonsson F
22 S. Haugen F
9 N. Castro F
Bench (8)
11 S. Nordli
7 Nenass
2 S. Sno
25 G. Kongshavn
30 I. Uzochukwu
6 D. Klinkenberg
41 M. Karlsbakk
5 O. Lie

Coach: L. Nilsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Dag Vidar Hafsaas · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.