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Allsvenskan
Sirius
U U U S S
3–1
Full-time
Hammarby
U U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sirius Hammarby
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 92%
100%
83%
Average goals
4,7
2,8
Scored
2,3
1,8
Conceded
2,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,8
This season — Allsvenskan · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 38%
38%
38%
Points per game
1,6
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
63%
56%
Both score Ø 66%
75%
56%
Average goals
3,4
2,5
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
1,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Sirius 6. · Hammarby 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Malmo FF 16 10 5 1 +18 35
2 Elfsborg 16 8 7 1 +7 31
3 Djurgarden 16 9 2 5 +10 29
4 Norrkoping 16 8 4 4 +12 28
5 Hacken 16 7 6 3 +12 27
6 Sirius 16 6 7 3 +3 25
7 Hammarby 16 6 6 4 +0 24
8 Mjallby 16 5 5 6 -5 20
9 Ostersunds 16 4 6 6 -4 18
10 Varberg 16 4 5 7 -2 17
11 Orebro 16 4 5 7 -6 17
12 Goteborg 16 2 9 5 -7 15
13 AIK 16 3 5 8 -10 14
14 Falkenbergs 16 2 7 7 -8 13
15 Kalmar 16 3 4 9 -8 13
16 Helsingborg 16 2 7 7 -12 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.