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Ligue 1

Referee: F Batta

St Etienne

T T U T U

2–0

Full-time

Lorient

T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Etienne Lorient

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,2

Scored

0,7

1,0

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%

13 Shots 6

5 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 5

0 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 23

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nice	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Rennes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Lille	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Nimes	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Lorient	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Angers	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Monaco	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Bordeaux	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Nantes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Reims	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Montpellier	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Lens	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Dijon	2	0	0	2	-4	0
15	Strasbourg	2	0	0	2	-4	0
16	Brest	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nimes	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Lorient	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Rennes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Nice	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Monaco	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Lille	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Bordeaux	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Reims	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Dijon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Strasbourg	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nice	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Lille	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Angers	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Reims	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Rennes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Nantes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Montpellier	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Lens	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Strasbourg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
10	Dijon	1	0	0	1	-3	0
11	Brest	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.