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Eliteserien
Referee: S Sinnes
Molde
S S S U U
5–1
Full-time
Tromso
U U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Molde Tromso
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,3
4,2
Scored
2,3
3,0
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,8
This season — Eliteserien · 13/11 matches
Win Ø 40%
62%
18%
Points per game
2,1
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
62%
45%
Both score Ø 72%
62%
82%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,4
Conceded
0,9
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

51% Possession 49%
18 Shots 12
11 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 2
6 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 2
3 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Molde 2. · Tromso 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lillestrom 13 9 3 1 +15 30
2 Molde 13 8 3 2 +11 27
3 Bodo/Glimt 13 6 4 3 +10 22
4 Viking 14 6 4 4 +7 22
5 Stromsgodset 14 6 3 5 -1 21
6 Sarpsborg 08 13 6 1 6 +7 19
7 Aalesund 13 5 4 4 -2 19
8 Odd 14 6 1 7 -5 19
9 Rosenborg 12 4 6 2 +5 18
10 Ham-Kam 12 3 7 2 +3 16
11 Tromso 11 2 7 2 -3 13
12 Sandefjord 11 4 1 6 -4 13
13 Haugesund 13 3 3 7 -5 12
14 Valerenga 12 3 2 7 -10 11
15 Jerv 12 3 2 7 -13 11
16 Kristiansund 10 0 1 9 -15 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Molde Tromso
7′
E. Kitolano 0–1
S. Opsahl
1–1 E. Knudtzon
D. Fofana
16′
2–1 K. Haugen
M. Linnes
20′
Erling Knudtzon 🟨
29′
R. Zekhnini 🔁
↦ B. Risa
29′
38′
🟨 Eric Kitolano
Half-time 3–1
3–1 D. Fofana
R. Zekhnini
48′
57′
🔁 J. Tuominen
↦ E. Moses
57′
🔁 W. Kamanzi
↦ L. Nilsen
4–1 D. Fofana
62′
5–1 M. Kaasa
K. Haugen
63′
70′
🔁 I. Vik
↦ C. Psyché
70′
🔁 F. Winther
↦ K. Antonsen
72′
🟨 Isak Kjelsrud Vik
E. Hussain 🔁
↦ M. Grødem
73′
75′
🔁 R. Norheim
↦ S. Opsahl
M. Bolly 🔁
↦ D. Fofana
80′
M. Løvik 🔁
↦ K. Haugen
80′
N. Ødegård 🔁
↦ M. Kaasa
80′
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Molde

5-3-2
1 J. Karlstrøm G
21 M. Linnes D
28 K. Haugen D
19 E. Haugan D
4 B. Hansen D
3 B. Risa D
14 E. Knudtzon F
22 M. Grødem M
15 M. Kaasa M
25 E. Breivik M
9 D. Fofana F
Bench (6)
17 R. Zekhnini
16 E. Hussain
30 M. Bolly
31 M. Løvik
33 N. Ødegård
26 O. Petersen

Coach: E. Moe

Tromso

5-3-2
1 J. Haugaard G
28 C. Psyché D
4 J. Gundersen D
5 A. Jenssen D
19 N. Vesterlund D
11 R. Jenssen M
8 K. Antonsen M
25 L. Nilsen D
17 E. Kitolano F
22 S. Opsahl M
9 E. Moses F
Bench (7)
15 J. Tuominen
14 W. Kamanzi
26 I. Vik
7 F. Winther
23 R. Norheim
60 Z. Jones
12 S. Thomas

Coach: G. Helstrup

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Sinnes · 93 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.