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Allsvenskan
Referee: K Karlsson
Hammarby
S S S U T
3–3
Full-time
AIK
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hammarby AIK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 9%
17%
0%
Average goals
2,3
1,7
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
0,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,7
This season — Allsvenskan · 7/8 matches
Win Ø 73%
71%
75%
Points per game
2,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
43%
25%
Both score Ø 21%
29%
13%
Average goals
2,4
2,1
Scored
1,9
1,3
Conceded
0,6
0,9
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

78% Possession 22%
13 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hammarby 2. · AIK 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 AIK 8 6 0 2 +3 18
2 Hammarby 7 5 1 1 +9 16
3 Malmo FF 8 4 3 1 +5 15
4 Hacken 7 4 2 1 +4 14
5 Mjallby 8 4 2 2 +3 14
6 Sirius 8 4 1 3 -4 13
7 Djurgarden 8 3 3 2 +5 12
8 Kalmar 7 4 0 3 +5 12
9 Elfsborg 8 3 2 3 +6 11
10 Goteborg 7 3 1 3 +1 10
11 Norrkoping 7 3 1 3 +1 10
12 Varberg 7 2 1 4 -5 7
13 Varnamo 8 1 3 4 -5 6
14 Helsingborg 8 1 2 5 -4 5
15 Sundsvall 7 1 0 6 -11 3
16 Degerfors 7 1 0 6 -13 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hammarby AIK
9′
N. Bahoui 0–1
N. Stefanelli
1–1 G. Ludwigson
N. Besara
32′
2–1 Mohanad Jeahze
40′
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 A. Björnström
↦ Z. Elbouzedi
57′
🔁 A. Ahmed Fatah
↦ J. Mendes
Mads Fenger 🟨
63′
63′
S. Larsson 2–2
J. Andersen 🔁
↦ D. Bojanić
65′
Edvin Kurtulus 🟨
69′
71′
🟨 Sotirios Papagiannopoulos
3–2 N. Besara
72′
74′
🟨 Budimir Janošević
S. Sandberg 🔁
↦ Mohanad Jeahze
76′
A. Selmani 🔁
↦ M. Lahdo
76′
80′
🔁 B. Mbunga-Kimpioka
↦ N. Stefanelli
84′
N. Bahoui 3–3
E. Otieno
B. Paulsen 🔁
↦ E. Kurtulus
87′
A. Khalili 🔁
↦ W. Swedberg
87′
87′
🔁 M. Lustig
↦ J. Larsson
89′
🟨 Axel Bjornström
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Hammarby

4-3-3
24 O. Dovin G
13 M. Fenger D
4 R. Magyar D
5 Mohanad Jeahze D
21 E. Kurtulus D
20 N. Besara M
18 L. Sadiku M
6 D. Bojanić M
15 M. Lahdo F
44 W. Swedberg F
16 G. Ludwigson F
Bench (7)
8 J. Andersen
2 S. Sandberg
9 A. Selmani
42 B. Paulsen
17 A. Khalili
14 D. Collander
25 D. Blažević

Coach: Martí Cifuentes

AIK

4-4-2
23 B. Janošević G
4 S. Papagiannopoulos D
5 A. Milošević D
25 E. Otieno D
2 J. Mendes D
7 S. Larsson M
10 N. Bahoui F
20 Z. Elbouzedi M
8 B. Hussein M
9 N. Stefanelli M
19 J. Larsson F
Bench (7)
12 A. Björnström
18 A. Ahmed Fatah
22 B. Mbunga-Kimpioka
33 M. Lustig
13 K. Stamatopoulos
26 Y. Ayari
3 P. Karlsson

Coach: B. Grzelak

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Karlsson · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.