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Allsvenskan
Referee: M Al Hakim
AIK
S S S S U
2–2
Full-time
Sirius
T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AIK Sirius
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 9%
17%
0%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
0,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,8
This season — Allsvenskan · 9/8 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,1
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 18%
22%
13%
Average goals
2,6
2,3
Scored
1,4
0,9
Conceded
1,1
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

53% Possession 47%
22 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 4
7 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 4
3 Offside 1
3 Free kicks against 7
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match AIK 1. · Sirius 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 AIK 9 6 1 2 +3 19
2 Hammarby 8 5 2 1 +9 17
3 Hacken 8 5 2 1 +6 17
4 Djurgarden 9 4 3 2 +9 15
5 Malmo FF 9 4 3 2 +1 15
6 Mjallby 8 4 2 2 +3 14
7 Norrkoping 8 4 1 3 +5 13
8 Sirius 8 4 1 3 -4 13
9 Kalmar 8 4 0 4 +3 12
10 Elfsborg 8 3 2 3 +6 11
11 Goteborg 8 3 2 3 +1 11
12 Varberg 8 2 2 4 -5 8
13 Varnamo 8 1 3 4 -5 6
14 Degerfors 8 2 0 6 -12 6
15 Helsingborg 9 1 2 6 -5 5
16 Sundsvall 8 1 0 7 -15 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

AIK Sirius
6′
🔁 T. Björkström
↦ I. Ssewankambo
22′
C. Kouakou 0–1
A. Hellborg
39′
P. Karlsson Lagemyr 0–2
M. Zeidan
1–2 J. Larsson
A. Björnström
43′
Half-time 2–2
2–2 E. Otieno
B. Hussein
47′
A. Ahmed Fatah 🔁
↦ A. Björnström
54′
B. Mbunga-Kimpioka 🔁
↦ N. Stefanelli
65′
70′
🔁 Y. Sugita
↦ P. Karlsson Lagemyr
82′
🔁 J. Karlsson
↦ A. Bjarnason
82′
🔁 F. Olsson
↦ A. Hellborg
82′
🔁 K. Wright
↦ L. Shabani
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

AIK

4-4-2
15 K. Nordfeldt G
33 M. Lustig D
5 A. Milošević D
12 A. Björnström M
25 E. Otieno D
2 J. Mendes D
7 S. Larsson M
10 N. Bahoui F
8 B. Hussein M
9 N. Stefanelli M
19 J. Larsson F
Bench (7)
18 A. Ahmed Fatah
22 B. Mbunga-Kimpioka
26 Y. Ayari
20 Z. Elbouzedi
3 P. Karlsson
24 J. Ceesay
23 B. Janošević

Coach: B. Grzelak

Sirius

4-5-1
34 T. Vaiho G
26 I. Ssewankambo D
6 M. Mathisen D
4 Kristopher Da Graca D
5 J. Roche M
17 P. Karlsson Lagemyr M
2 A. Hellborg M
23 M. Zeidan M
18 L. Shabani M
9 C. Kouakou F
14 A. Bjarnason D
Bench (7)
8 T. Björkström
10 Y. Sugita
27 J. Karlsson
11 F. Olsson
21 K. Wright
29 E. Sylisufaj
1 D. Mitov Nilsson

Coach: D. Bäckström

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Al Hakim · 112 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.