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Allsvenskan

Referee: G Maqedonci

Varberg

T U S T T

3–0

Full-time

Varnamo

T U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Varberg Varnamo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,3

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

2,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,7

+0,0

This season — Allsvenskan · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 27%

27%

Points per game

1,0

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

45%

36%

Both score Ø 41%

36%

45%

Average goals

2,5

2,2

Scored

0,7

1,0

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

37% Possession 63%

19 Shots 24

6 Shots on target 4

9 Blocked shots 9

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 11

2 Offside 1

21 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Varberg 13. · Varnamo 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hacken	11	7	3	1	+8	24
2	AIK	13	7	3	3	+3	24
3	Djurgarden	12	6	3	3	+15	21
4	Hammarby	11	6	3	2	+11	21
5	Malmo FF	13	6	3	4	+2	21
6	Kalmar	12	6	2	4	+5	20
7	Mjallby	12	5	4	3	+2	19
8	Elfsborg	11	5	3	3	+11	18
9	Goteborg	11	5	2	4	+2	17
10	Norrkoping	11	4	3	4	+2	15
11	Sirius	11	4	2	5	-6	14
12	Varnamo	11	3	3	5	-2	12
13	Varberg	11	3	2	6	-11	11
14	Sundsvall	12	3	0	9	-17	9
15	Degerfors	11	2	1	8	-15	7
16	Helsingborg	13	1	3	9	-10	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Djurgarden	6	5	1	0	+15	16
2	AIK	7	5	1	1	+5	16
3	Elfsborg	6	4	1	1	+8	13
4	Malmo FF	6	4	1	1	+6	13
5	Hammarby	6	3	3	0	+6	12
6	Hacken	5	4	0	1	+5	12
7	Mjallby	6	3	3	0	+5	12
8	Kalmar	6	4	0	2	+4	12
9	Sirius	5	3	0	2	+0	9
10	Sundsvall	7	3	0	4	-6	9
11	Norrkoping	5	2	2	1	+5	8
12	Goteborg	5	2	2	1	+2	8
13	Varnamo	5	2	2	1	+2	8
14	Varberg	5	2	1	2	-2	7
15	Helsingborg	7	1	2	4	-5	5
16	Degerfors	6	1	1	4	-9	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hacken	6	3	3	0	+3	12
2	Hammarby	5	3	0	2	+5	9
3	Goteborg	6	3	0	3	+0	9
4	Kalmar	6	2	2	2	+1	8
5	AIK	6	2	2	2	-2	8
6	Malmo FF	7	2	2	3	-4	8
7	Norrkoping	6	2	1	3	-3	7
8	Mjallby	6	2	1	3	-3	7
9	Elfsborg	5	1	2	2	+3	5
10	Djurgarden	6	1	2	3	+0	5
11	Sirius	6	1	2	3	-6	5
12	Varnamo	6	1	1	4	-4	4
13	Varberg	6	1	1	4	-9	4
14	Degerfors	5	1	0	4	-6	3
15	Helsingborg	6	0	1	5	-5	1
16	Sundsvall	5	0	0	5	-11	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.