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Allsvenskan

Referee: J Östling

Varnamo

S T T U S

1–0

Full-time

Hammarby

S U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Varnamo Hammarby

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,8

This season — Allsvenskan · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 45%

22%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

44%

56%

Both score Ø 45%

56%

33%

Average goals

2,4

2,9

Scored

1,1

2,1

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

35% Possession 65%

9 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 6

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 4

1 Offside 3

9 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Varnamo 13. · Hammarby 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hacken	10	7	2	1	+8	23
2	Hammarby	9	6	2	1	+12	20
3	AIK	10	6	2	2	+3	20
4	Djurgarden	11	5	3	3	+12	18
5	Malmo FF	11	5	3	3	+2	18
6	Kalmar	10	5	1	4	+4	16
7	Elfsborg	10	4	3	3	+8	15
8	Mjallby	10	4	3	3	+1	15
9	Norrkoping	10	4	2	4	+2	14
10	Goteborg	10	4	2	4	+1	14
11	Sirius	10	4	2	4	-5	14
12	Varberg	10	3	2	5	-8	11
13	Varnamo	9	2	3	4	-2	9
14	Sundsvall	10	2	0	8	-15	6
15	Degerfors	10	2	0	8	-15	6
16	Helsingborg	10	1	2	7	-8	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Djurgarden	6	5	1	0	+15	16
2	AIK	6	5	1	0	+6	16
3	Hacken	5	4	0	1	+5	12
4	Hammarby	5	3	2	0	+6	11
5	Mjallby	5	3	2	0	+5	11
6	Elfsborg	5	3	1	1	+5	10
7	Malmo FF	5	3	1	1	+5	10
8	Kalmar	5	3	0	2	+3	9
9	Sirius	4	3	0	1	+1	9
10	Norrkoping	5	2	2	1	+5	8
11	Goteborg	5	2	2	1	+2	8
12	Varberg	5	2	1	2	-2	7
13	Sundsvall	5	2	0	3	-4	6
14	Varnamo	4	1	2	1	+1	5
15	Helsingborg	5	1	1	3	-4	4
16	Degerfors	5	1	0	4	-9	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hacken	5	3	2	0	+3	11
2	Hammarby	4	3	0	1	+6	9
3	Malmo FF	6	2	2	2	-3	8
4	Kalmar	5	2	1	2	+1	7
5	Goteborg	5	2	0	3	-1	6
6	Norrkoping	5	2	0	3	-3	6
7	Elfsborg	5	1	2	2	+3	5
8	Sirius	6	1	2	3	-6	5
9	Varnamo	5	1	1	3	-3	4
10	AIK	4	1	1	2	-3	4
11	Mjallby	5	1	1	3	-4	4
12	Varberg	5	1	1	3	-6	4
13	Degerfors	5	1	0	4	-6	3
14	Djurgarden	5	0	2	3	-3	2
15	Helsingborg	5	0	1	4	-4	1
16	Sundsvall	5	0	0	5	-11	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.