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Allsvenskan

Referee: J Östling

Varberg

U T T T S

1–2

Full-time

AIK

T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Varberg AIK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,5

2,3

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,3

This season — Allsvenskan · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 11%

14%

Points per game

0,6

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 54%

57%

50%

Average goals

2,6

2,2

Scored

0,7

0,9

Conceded

1,9

1,4

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

1,60 xG 0,89

47% Possession 53%

12 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 4

1 Offside 3

19 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Varberg 16. · AIK 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Elfsborg	15	11	3	1	+24	+3.0	36
2	Hacken	16	11	2	3	+24	-0.3	35
3	Malmo FF	14	11	1	2	+23	+0.6	34
4	Djurgarden	15	8	3	4	+5	–	27
5	Halmstad	15	7	3	5	-3	-0.5	24
6	Norrkoping	15	6	4	5	+3	+3.7	22
7	Kalmar	15	6	4	5	-2	-2.3	22
8	Hammarby	16	6	4	6	-3	+0.4	22
9	Mjallby	15	5	4	6	-3	-3.9	19
10	Brommapojkarna	15	6	1	8	-5	+0.3	19
11	Sirius	15	4	5	6	-4	-0.3	17
12	Varnamo	15	5	1	9	-5	+0.1	16
13	Degerfors	16	4	2	10	-24	+0.2	14
14	AIK	14	2	4	8	-7	–	10
15	Goteborg	15	1	6	8	-6	-1.9	9
16	Varberg	14	1	5	8	-17	+0.8	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Djurgarden	8	7	1	0	+11	–	22
2	Hacken	8	7	0	1	+18	-0.3	21
3	Malmo FF	8	6	1	1	+15	+0.6	19
4	Elfsborg	8	5	2	1	+15	+1.0	17
5	Hammarby	7	5	1	1	+6	+0.3	16
6	Kalmar	7	4	1	2	+0	-2.0	13
7	Halmstad	8	3	3	2	+1	-0.1	12
8	Degerfors	9	3	2	4	-4	+0.2	11
9	Mjallby	8	2	3	3	+1	-3.3	9
10	Norrkoping	7	2	2	3	-1	+0.5	8
11	Sirius	7	2	1	4	-2	-0.1	7
12	Brommapojkarna	7	2	1	4	-2	–	7
13	AIK	7	1	3	3	-3	–	6
14	Varnamo	7	2	0	5	-3	–	6
15	Goteborg	7	1	2	4	+2	-0.8	5
16	Varberg	7	0	3	4	-11	–	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Elfsborg	7	6	1	0	+9	+2.0	19
2	Malmo FF	6	5	0	1	+8	–	15
3	Hacken	8	4	2	2	+6	–	14
4	Norrkoping	8	4	2	2	+4	+3.3	14
5	Brommapojkarna	8	4	0	4	-3	+0.3	12
6	Halmstad	7	4	0	3	-4	-0.5	12
7	Sirius	8	2	4	2	-2	-0.2	10
8	Varnamo	8	3	1	4	-2	+0.1	10
9	Mjallby	7	3	1	3	-4	-0.6	10
10	Kalmar	8	2	3	3	-2	-0.3	9
11	Hammarby	9	1	3	5	-9	+0.1	6
12	Djurgarden	7	1	2	4	-6	–	5
13	Varberg	7	1	2	4	-6	+0.8	5
14	AIK	7	1	1	5	-4	–	4
15	Goteborg	8	0	4	4	-8	-1.0	4
16	Degerfors	7	1	0	6	-20	–	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.