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Allsvenskan

Referee: M Al Hakim

Goteborg

U T T T U

1–2

Full-time

Varberg

T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Goteborg Varberg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,5

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,3

2,7

Scored

0,7

Conceded

1,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-1,3

This season — Allsvenskan · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 4%

Points per game

0,6

0,4

Over 2.5 Ø 35%

23%

46%

Both score Ø 43%

31%

54%

Average goals

2,1

2,6

Scored

0,8

0,6

Conceded

1,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-1,4

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,79 xG 1,64

57% Possession 43%

9 Shots 14

1 Shots on target 6

5 Blocked shots 4

5 Goalkeeper saves 0

6 Corners 6

0 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Goteborg 15. · Varberg 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Elfsborg	14	11	2	1	+24	+2.0	35
2	Malmo FF	14	11	1	2	+23	+0.6	34
3	Hacken	15	10	2	3	+22	–	32
4	Djurgarden	15	8	3	4	+5	–	27
5	Kalmar	14	6	4	4	+0	-2.0	22
6	Halmstad	13	6	2	5	-4	–	20
7	Norrkoping	13	5	4	4	+3	–	19
8	Mjallby	14	5	4	5	-2	-0.6	19
9	Brommapojkarna	14	6	1	7	-3	–	19
10	Hammarby	15	5	4	6	-5	+0.1	19
11	Varnamo	14	5	0	9	-5	–	15
12	Sirius	14	3	5	6	-7	-0.1	14
13	Degerfors	15	4	2	9	-21	–	14
14	AIK	14	2	4	8	-7	–	10
15	Goteborg	13	1	5	7	-5	–	8
16	Varberg	13	0	5	8	-18	–	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Djurgarden	8	7	1	0	+11	–	22
2	Malmo FF	8	6	1	1	+15	+0.6	19
3	Hacken	7	6	0	1	+16	–	18
4	Elfsborg	7	5	1	1	+15	–	16
5	Hammarby	6	4	1	1	+4	–	13
6	Kalmar	7	4	1	2	+0	-2.0	13
7	Halmstad	7	3	2	2	+1	–	11
8	Degerfors	8	3	2	3	-1	–	11
9	Mjallby	7	2	3	2	+2	–	9
10	Norrkoping	6	2	2	2	+0	–	8
11	Sirius	7	2	1	4	-2	-0.1	7
12	Brommapojkarna	7	2	1	4	-2	–	7
13	AIK	7	1	3	3	-3	–	6
14	Varnamo	7	2	0	5	-3	–	6
15	Goteborg	6	1	2	3	+3	–	5
16	Varberg	7	0	3	4	-11	–	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Elfsborg	7	6	1	0	+9	+2.0	19
2	Malmo FF	6	5	0	1	+8	–	15
3	Hacken	8	4	2	2	+6	–	14
4	Brommapojkarna	7	4	0	3	-1	–	12
5	Norrkoping	7	3	2	2	+3	–	11
6	Mjallby	7	3	1	3	-4	-0.6	10
7	Kalmar	7	2	3	2	+0	–	9
8	Varnamo	7	3	0	4	-2	–	9
9	Halmstad	6	3	0	3	-5	–	9
10	Sirius	7	1	4	2	-5	–	7
11	Hammarby	9	1	3	5	-9	+0.1	6
12	Djurgarden	7	1	2	4	-6	–	5
13	AIK	7	1	1	5	-4	–	4
14	Goteborg	7	0	3	4	-8	–	3
15	Degerfors	7	1	0	6	-20	–	3
16	Varberg	6	0	2	4	-7	–	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.