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Allsvenskan

Referee: A Ladebäck

AIK

S S T S T

1–0

Full-time

Varberg

S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AIK Varberg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

3,8

2,5

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

1,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,5

This season — Allsvenskan · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 17%

33%

Average goals

3,3

2,0

Scored

1,0

Conceded

2,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

57% Possession 43%

17 Shots 4

3 Shots on target 1

5 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

9 Corners 1

1 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 24

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AIK 11. · Varberg 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hammarby	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Goteborg	3	3	0	0	+4	9
3	Malmo FF	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Sirius	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Kalmar	3	2	0	1	+4	6
6	Djurgarden	3	2	0	1	+2	6
7	Hacken	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Mjallby	3	2	0	1	+1	6
9	Varberg	3	2	0	1	+0	6
10	Elfsborg	3	1	1	1	+1	4
11	AIK	3	1	0	2	-4	3
12	Varnamo	3	0	1	2	-4	1
13	Norrkoping	3	0	0	3	-3	0
14	Helsingborg	3	0	0	3	-3	0
15	Degerfors	3	0	0	3	-5	0
16	Sundsvall	3	0	0	3	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Djurgarden	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Hammarby	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Sirius	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Malmo FF	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	Elfsborg	2	1	0	1	+1	3
6	Kalmar	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Goteborg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	AIK	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Mjallby	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Hacken	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Varberg	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Varnamo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Degerfors	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Helsingborg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Norrkoping	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Sundsvall	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Goteborg	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Hammarby	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Kalmar	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Hacken	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Malmo FF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Varberg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Mjallby	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Elfsborg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Sirius	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Djurgarden	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Norrkoping	2	0	0	2	-2	0
12	Helsingborg	2	0	0	2	-2	0
13	Sundsvall	2	0	0	2	-3	0
14	Varnamo	2	0	0	2	-4	0
15	Degerfors	2	0	0	2	-4	0
16	AIK	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.