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Allsvenskan
Referee: F Klitte
Djurgarden
U U S S S
0–4
Full-time
Elfsborg
U S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Djurgarden Elfsborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,7
2,2
Conceded
0,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,7
This season — Allsvenskan · 16/15 matches
Win Ø 65%
56%
73%
Points per game
1,9
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
44%
53%
Both score Ø 49%
50%
47%
Average goals
2,7
3,1
Scored
1,6
2,3
Conceded
1,1
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

0,58 xG 3,06
68% Possession 32%
11 Shots 11
1 Shots on target 7
5 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 1
2 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 24
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Djurgarden 4. · Elfsborg 1.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Elfsborg 15 11 3 1 +24 +3.0 36
2 Hacken 16 11 2 3 +24 -0.3 35
3 Malmo FF 15 11 1 3 +21 -0.2 34
4 Djurgarden 16 9 3 4 +7 +0.9 30
5 Halmstad 15 7 3 5 -3 -0.5 24
6 Norrkoping 15 6 4 5 +3 +3.7 22
7 Kalmar 15 6 4 5 -2 -2.3 22
8 Hammarby 17 6 4 7 -4 +0.2 22
9 Brommapojkarna 16 7 1 8 -4 +0.5 22
10 Mjallby 15 5 4 6 -3 -3.9 19
11 Sirius 15 4 5 6 -4 -0.3 17
12 Varnamo 15 5 1 9 -5 +0.1 16
13 Degerfors 16 4 2 10 -24 +0.2 14
14 AIK 15 3 4 8 -6 -0.7 13
15 Goteborg 15 1 6 8 -6 -1.9 9
16 Varberg 15 1 5 9 -18 +1.6 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Djurgarden Elfsborg
3′
A. Bernhardsson 0–1
21′
J. Okkels 0–2
24′
🟨 Per Frick
Haris Radetinac 🟨
40′
42′
J. Okkels 0–3
J. Larsson
Half-time 0–3
46′
🟨 Niklas Hult
G. Wikheim 🔁
↦ H. Radetinac
46′
J. Une-Larsson 🔁
↦ J. Löfgren
46′
Rasmus Schüller 🟨
56′
L. Bergvall 🔁
↦ O. Berg
57′
M. Eriksson 🔁
↦ H. Finndell
58′
M. Qurbanlı 🔁
↦ J. Asoro
58′
60′
🔁 A. Qasem
↦ A. Bernhardsson
64′
🟨 André Rømer
65′
🔁 S. Guðjohnsen
↦ P. Frick
66′
S. Guðjohnsen 0–4
E. Boateng
81′
🟨 Jeppe Okkels
83′
🔁 J. Abdulai
↦ M. Baidoo
83′
🔁 C. Jebara
↦ J. Okkels
83′
🔁 N. Söderberg
↦ E. Boateng
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Djurgarden

4-3-3
35 J. Widell Zetterström G
2 P. Johansson D
4 J. Löfgren D
3 M. Danielson D
16 R. Kaib D
13 H. Finndell M
11 O. Berg M
6 R. Schüller M
15 O. Fallenius F
10 J. Asoro F
9 H. Radetinac F
Bench (9)
23 G. Wikheim
27 J. Une-Larsson
21 L. Bergvall
7 M. Eriksson
22 M. Qurbanlı
17 Carlos Moros
30 T. Vaiho
29 N. Milleskog
20 I. Alemayehu

Coach: K. Bergstrand

Elfsborg

4-3-3
30 H. Valdimarsson G
13 J. Larsson D
8 S. Holmén D
29 I. Buhari D
23 N. Hult D
6 A. Rømer M
26 E. Boateng M
10 M. Baidoo M
12 A. Bernhardsson F
17 P. Frick F
19 J. Okkels F
Bench (9)
18 A. Qasem
11 S. Guðjohnsen
14 J. Abdulai
24 C. Jebara
28 N. Söderberg
21 A. Boman
20 G. Rapp
4 G. Henriksson
31 T. Rönning

Coach: J. Thelin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Klitte · 88 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.