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Eliteserien

Referee: Tore Hansen

Molde

S U S S S

5–1

Full-time

Sarpsborg 08

S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Molde Sarpsborg 08

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

3,0

5,5

Scored

2,5

3,0

Conceded

0,5

2,5

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+0,5

This season — Eliteserien · 15/14 matches

Win Ø 48%

53%

43%

Points per game

1,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 66%

67%

64%

Both score Ø 56%

47%

64%

Average goals

3,4

3,2

Scored

2,2

1,8

Conceded

1,2

1,4

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

2,51 xG 1,69

54% Possession 46%

14 Shots 18

8 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 6

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 7

1 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Molde 5. · Sarpsborg 08 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	15	12	2	1	+24	+1.9	38
2	Viking	14	9	2	3	+10	-0.1	29
3	Brann	15	8	3	4	+9	-3.3	27
4	Tromso	14	8	3	3	+5	+0.6	27
5	Molde	15	8	2	5	+15	+5.9	26
6	Lillestrom	14	8	2	4	+8	+4.5	26
7	Sarpsborg 08	14	6	3	5	+5	+0.5	21
8	Stromsgodset	14	6	2	6	+2	-0.8	20
9	Odd	15	5	4	6	-2	+0.5	19
10	Rosenborg	15	4	4	7	-5	-0.8	16
11	Stabaek	14	4	4	6	-6	+1.0	16
12	Haugesund	14	4	3	7	-8	-1.7	15
13	Ham-Kam	14	4	1	9	-16	+0.7	13
14	Valerenga	13	3	2	8	-8	-3.9	11
15	Sandefjord	13	2	4	7	-10	-3.6	10
16	Aalesund	15	2	1	12	-23	-1.4	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	8	6	2	0	+15	+1.7	20
2	Brann	8	6	2	0	+12	+0.3	20
3	Molde	7	5	1	1	+11	+3.7	16
4	Viking	7	5	1	1	+10	–	16
5	Lillestrom	8	5	0	3	+7	+2.7	15
6	Rosenborg	9	4	1	4	-1	-0.8	13
7	Stromsgodset	6	4	0	2	+5	-0.5	12
8	Stabaek	8	3	3	2	+3	+0.1	12
9	Haugesund	6	3	2	1	+2	–	11
10	Tromso	7	3	2	2	+1	+1.6	11
11	Sarpsborg 08	7	3	1	3	+3	-0.0	10
12	Ham-Kam	7	3	1	3	-1	+0.6	10
13	Sandefjord	5	2	2	1	+6	-0.9	8
14	Odd	6	2	2	2	+0	-0.3	8
15	Aalesund	8	2	1	5	-7	-0.7	7
16	Valerenga	7	1	0	6	-8	-2.2	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	7	6	0	1	+9	+0.3	18
2	Tromso	7	5	1	1	+4	-1.0	16
3	Viking	7	4	1	2	+0	-0.1	13
4	Sarpsborg 08	7	3	2	2	+2	+0.5	11
5	Lillestrom	6	3	2	1	+1	+1.8	11
6	Odd	9	3	2	4	-2	+0.7	11
7	Molde	8	3	1	4	+4	+2.2	10
8	Valerenga	6	2	2	2	+0	-1.6	8
9	Stromsgodset	8	2	2	4	-3	-0.3	8
10	Brann	7	2	1	4	-3	-3.7	7
11	Stabaek	6	1	1	4	-9	+0.9	4
12	Haugesund	8	1	1	6	-10	-1.7	4
13	Rosenborg	6	0	3	3	-4	–	3
14	Ham-Kam	7	1	0	6	-15	+0.0	3
15	Sandefjord	8	0	2	6	-16	-2.7	2
16	Aalesund	7	0	0	7	-16	-0.6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.