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Ekstraklasa
Referee: S Marciniak
Piast Gliwice
U S S U S
1–2
Full-time
Lech Poznan
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Piast Gliwice Lech Poznan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
0,7
0,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

3,92 xG 0,35
40% Possession 60%
15 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 1
2 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 20
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Piast Gliwice Lech Poznan
Ariel Mosór 🟨
13′
22′
🟨 Jesper Karlström
1–0 P. Dziczek
43′
Half-time 1–1
46′
F. Marchwiński 1–1
Joel Pereira
54′
F. Marchwiński 1–2
K. Velde
55′
🔁 Afonso Sousa
↦ J. Karlström
55′
🔁 A. Sobiech
↦ M. Ishak
55′
🔁 D. Hotić
↦ A. Ba Loua
S. Krykun 🔁
↦ Jorge Félix
59′
61′
🟨 Radosław Murawski
71′
🔁 B. Douglas
↦ R. Murawski
D. Kądzior 🔁
↦ M. Ameyaw
72′
81′
🔁 F. Szymczak
↦ K. Velde
M. Bykowski 🔁
↦ P. Dziczek
87′
91′
🟨 Afonso Sousa
94′
🟨 Artur Sobiech
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Piast Gliwice

4-2-3-1
26 F. Plach G
77 A. Pyrka D
2 A. Mosór D
4 J. Czerwiński D
98 A. Katránis D
16 P. Dziczek M
20 G. Tomasiewicz M
19 M. Ameyaw M
6 M. Chrapek M
7 Jorge Félix M
10 K. Wilczek F
Bench (9)
44 S. Krykun
11 D. Kądzior
29 M. Bykowski
3 Miguel Muñoz
5 T. Huk
14 J. Holúbek
24 T. Hateley
22 T. Mokwa
33 K. Szymański

Coach: A. Vukovic

Lech Poznan

4-2-3-1
35 F. Bednarek G
2 Joel Pereira D
44 A. Czerwiński D
16 A. Milić D
5 E. Andersson D
22 R. Murawski M
6 J. Karlström M
50 A. Ba Loua M
10 F. Marchwiński M
11 K. Velde M
9 M. Ishak F
Bench (9)
7 Afonso Sousa
90 A. Sobiech
21 D. Hotić
3 B. Douglas
17 F. Szymczak
53 A. Nadolski
15 M. Gurgul
41 B. Mrozek
55 M. Pingot

Coach: J. van den Brom

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Marciniak · 126 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.