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Allsvenskan

Referee: V Wolf

Varberg

T S T T S

0–3

Full-time

Mjallby

U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Varberg Mjallby

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 24%

12%

35%

Points per game

0,6

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

53%

35%

Both score Ø 41%

53%

29%

Average goals

2,7

2,1

Scored

0,9

Conceded

1,8

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,18 xG 2,70

57% Possession 43%

10 Shots 14

4 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 7

2 Offside 2

17 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Varberg 16. · Mjallby 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Elfsborg	18	13	3	2	+27	+6.4	42
2	Hacken	18	12	2	4	+25	-1.0	38
3	Malmo FF	17	12	2	3	+23	+0.4	38
4	Djurgarden	18	10	3	5	+4	-1.6	33
5	Kalmar	18	7	5	6	-3	-1.6	26
6	Norrkoping	17	7	4	6	+3	+5.0	25
7	Hammarby	18	7	4	7	-3	+0.7	25
8	Halmstad	17	7	4	6	-8	-1.0	25
9	Mjallby	17	6	4	7	-3	-4.4	22
10	Varnamo	18	7	1	10	-4	+1.1	22
11	Brommapojkarna	18	7	1	10	-8	+0.4	22
12	AIK	18	4	6	8	-5	-1.3	18
13	Sirius	18	4	5	9	-7	+0.8	17
14	Degerfors	18	5	2	11	-23	-2.1	17
15	Goteborg	17	2	7	8	-4	-1.9	13
16	Varberg	17	2	5	10	-14	-0.0	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Djurgarden	10	8	1	1	+9	-1.6	25
2	Hacken	9	8	0	1	+20	-0.8	24
3	Malmo FF	9	7	1	1	+17	+0.3	22
4	Elfsborg	9	6	2	1	+16	+1.4	20
5	Hammarby	8	6	1	1	+7	+0.9	19
6	Kalmar	9	5	2	2	+1	-1.3	17
7	Degerfors	10	4	2	4	-2	-0.3	14
8	Halmstad	9	3	3	3	-4	-0.5	12
9	Norrkoping	8	3	2	3	+0	+2.3	11
10	Brommapojkarna	9	3	1	5	-3	-0.4	10
11	Goteborg	9	2	3	4	+4	-0.9	9
12	Mjallby	9	2	3	4	+0	-3.3	9
13	Varnamo	8	3	0	5	-2	+0.2	9
14	AIK	8	1	4	3	-3	-1.0	7
15	Sirius	9	2	1	6	-4	+1.5	7
16	Varberg	8	0	3	5	-12	+0.7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Elfsborg	9	7	1	1	+11	+5.0	22
2	Malmo FF	8	5	1	2	+6	+0.1	16
3	Hacken	9	4	2	3	+5	-0.2	14
4	Norrkoping	9	4	2	3	+3	+2.7	14
5	Varnamo	10	4	1	5	-2	+1.0	13
6	Mjallby	8	4	1	3	-3	-1.2	13
7	Halmstad	8	4	1	3	-4	-0.5	13
8	Brommapojkarna	9	4	0	5	-5	+0.8	12
9	AIK	10	3	2	5	-2	-0.3	11
10	Sirius	9	2	4	3	-3	-0.6	10
11	Kalmar	9	2	3	4	-4	-0.3	9
12	Varberg	9	2	2	5	-2	-0.7	8
13	Djurgarden	8	2	2	4	-5	-0.0	8
14	Hammarby	10	1	3	6	-10	-0.2	6
15	Goteborg	8	0	4	4	-8	-1.0	4
16	Degerfors	8	1	0	7	-21	-1.8	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.