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Allsvenskan

Referee: O Johnson

AIK

S U U S T

3–0

Full-time

Varberg

S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AIK Varberg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 15%

20%

10%

Points per game

1,0

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

50%

55%

Both score Ø 50%

55%

45%

Average goals

2,3

2,7

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

1,3

1,9

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-1,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

3,23 xG 0,71

54% Possession 46%

17 Shots 8

9 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

3 Corners 3

4 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 19

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AIK 15. · Varberg 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Elfsborg	20	14	3	3	+28	+6.1	45
2	Hacken	21	14	2	5	+26	+1.3	44
3	Malmo FF	20	13	3	4	+25	+4.7	42
4	Djurgarden	21	11	4	6	+6	+1.4	37
5	Norrkoping	20	10	4	6	+10	+5.7	34
6	Hammarby	21	9	5	7	+1	+1.7	32
7	Kalmar	21	8	6	7	-5	-4.5	30
8	Mjallby	21	8	4	9	-4	-5.3	28
9	Varnamo	21	8	2	11	-2	+2.1	26
10	Brommapojkarna	21	8	2	11	-7	+0.6	26
11	Halmstad	21	7	5	9	-15	-3.6	26
12	Goteborg	21	5	7	9	-3	-3.7	22
13	Sirius	20	5	5	10	-5	+1.7	20
14	Degerfors	21	6	2	13	-26	-6.0	20
15	AIK	20	4	7	9	-7	-0.0	19
16	Varberg	20	2	5	13	-22	-2.3	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hacken	11	10	0	1	+23	+0.5	30
2	Djurgarden	11	9	1	1	+12	+1.7	28
3	Malmo FF	11	8	2	1	+20	+2.1	26
4	Elfsborg	10	7	2	1	+18	+1.8	23
5	Hammarby	9	7	1	1	+8	+1.5	22
6	Kalmar	10	5	3	2	+1	-2.1	18
7	Norrkoping	10	5	2	3	+5	+1.3	17
8	Goteborg	11	4	3	4	+7	-1.8	15
9	Degerfors	11	4	2	5	-3	+0.4	14
10	Brommapojkarna	11	4	1	6	-2	-0.1	13
11	Mjallby	11	3	3	5	-2	-5.3	12
12	Halmstad	10	3	3	4	-6	-2.2	12
13	Sirius	10	3	1	6	-1	+2.8	10
14	Varnamo	10	3	1	6	-3	+1.3	10
15	AIK	9	1	5	3	-3	-0.9	8
16	Varberg	10	0	3	7	-18	-0.7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Elfsborg	10	7	1	2	+10	+4.3	22
2	Norrkoping	10	5	2	3	+5	+4.4	17
3	Malmo FF	9	5	1	3	+5	+2.5	16
4	Varnamo	11	5	1	5	+1	+0.9	16
5	Mjallby	10	5	1	4	-2	-0.0	16
6	Hacken	10	4	2	4	+3	+0.7	14
7	Halmstad	11	4	2	5	-9	-1.4	14
8	Brommapojkarna	10	4	1	5	-5	+0.7	13
9	Kalmar	11	3	3	5	-6	-2.4	12
10	AIK	11	3	2	6	-4	+0.9	11
11	Sirius	10	2	4	4	-4	-1.1	10
12	Hammarby	12	2	4	6	-7	+0.2	10
13	Djurgarden	10	2	3	5	-6	-0.3	9
14	Varberg	10	2	2	6	-4	-1.6	8
15	Goteborg	10	1	4	5	-10	-1.8	7
16	Degerfors	10	2	0	8	-23	-6.3	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.