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Svenska Cupen
Referee: V Wolf
Helsingborg
S T T S T
0–1
Full-time
Varnamo
S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Helsingborg Varnamo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
4,0
2,8
Scored
2,0
1,8
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Svenska Cupen · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
1,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
4,0
2,5
Scored
2,5
2,0
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Helsingborg 29. · Varnamo 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Malmo FF 3 3 0 0 +12 9
2 AIK 3 3 0 0 +6 9
3 Degerfors 3 2 1 0 +8 7
4 Sirius 2 2 0 0 +8 6
5 Brommapojkarna 2 2 0 0 +8 6
6 Djurgarden 2 2 0 0 +6 6
7 United Nordic 3 2 0 1 +5 6
8 Halmstad 2 2 0 0 +5 6
9 Hacken 2 2 0 0 +5 6
10 Vasteras SK 2 2 0 0 +4 6
11 Elfsborg 3 2 0 1 +3 6
12 Goteborg 2 2 0 0 +3 6
13 Varnamo 2 2 0 0 +3 6
14 Oster 3 2 0 1 +2 6
15 Varberg 3 2 0 1 +2 6
16 Kalmar 3 2 0 1 +2 6
17 Mjallby 2 2 0 0 +2 6
18 Orebro SK 3 2 0 1 +0 6
19 Orgryte 3 2 0 1 -2 6
20 Norrkoping 2 1 1 0 +6 4
21 Stockholm Internazionale 2 1 1 0 +1 4
22 GAIS 3 1 1 1 -1 4
23 IFK Luleå 4 1 1 2 -11 4
24 Falkenbergs FF 2 1 0 1 +10 3
25 Hudiksvall 2 1 0 1 +5 3
26 Olympic 2 1 0 1 +4 3
27 Skövde AIK 2 1 0 1 +3 3
28 Sandviken 2 1 0 1 +2 3
29 Helsingborg 2 1 0 1 +2 3
30 Jönköpings BK 2 1 0 1 +2 3
31 IF Karlstad 2 1 0 1 +2 3
32 Berga 2 1 0 1 +2 3
33 Karlshamn 2 1 0 1 +2 3
34 Sundsvall 2 1 0 1 +1 3
35 Landskrona 2 1 0 1 +1 3
36 Hammarby 2 1 0 1 +1 3
37 Tvååker 2 1 0 1 +1 3
38 Smedby 2 1 0 1 +1 3
39 Hässleholms IF 2 1 0 1 +0 3
40 Husqvarna 2 1 0 1 +0 3
41 Stocksund 2 1 0 1 +0 3
42 Tyresö W 2 1 0 1 +0 3
43 Utsikten 2 1 0 1 +0 3
44 Trelleborg 2 1 0 1 +0 3
45 Sollentuna 2 1 0 1 +0 3
46 Dalstorps 2 1 0 1 -1 3
47 Jonsered 2 1 0 1 -1 3
48 Ostersunds FK 2 1 0 1 -1 3
49 Zenith 2 1 0 1 -1 3
50 Lund 2 1 0 1 -1 3
51 Gefle IF 3 1 0 2 -2 3
52 Dalkurd FF 2 1 0 1 -2 3
53 Örebro Syrianska 2 1 0 1 -2 3
54 Rosengård 2 1 0 1 -2 3
55 Trollhättan 2 1 0 1 -3 3
56 IFK Österåker 2 1 0 1 -3 3
57 IFK Hässleholm 2 1 0 1 -3 3
58 Lucksta 2 1 0 1 -4 3
59 IK brage 2 0 2 0 +0 2
60 Skellefteå 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Haninge 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Rågsved 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Järfälla 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Katrineholms SK 2 0 1 1 -3 1
65 Franke 2 0 1 1 -5 1
66 Roslagsbro 2 0 1 1 -5 1
67 Ahlafors 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Lindome 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Räppe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Huddinge 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Karlberg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 AFC Eskilstuna 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 FBK Karlstad 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Laholm 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Oddevold 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Uppsala 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Vasalund 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 IFK Malmö 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Höllviken 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 IFK Östersund 1 0 0 1 -2 0
81 IFK Skövde 1 0 0 1 -2 0
82 Gute 1 0 0 1 -2 0
83 Åsarp-Trädet 1 0 0 1 -2 0
84 Göteborgs FF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
85 Täby 1 0 0 1 -3 0
86 Torstorps 1 0 0 1 -3 0
87 Oskarshamns AIK 1 0 0 1 -3 0
88 Jonkopings Sodra 1 0 0 1 -3 0
89 Skå IK Bygdegård 1 0 0 1 -3 0
90 Högsäter 1 0 0 1 -3 0
91 Lindsdal 1 0 0 1 -3 0
92 Hemgårdarnas 1 0 0 1 -4 0
93 Simrishamn 1 0 0 1 -5 0
94 Korsnäs 1 0 0 1 -6 0
95 Gottne 1 0 0 1 -7 0
96 Torestorp-Älekulla 1 0 0 1 -11 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Helsingborg Varnamo
S. Bengtsson 🟨
2′
20′
K. Bilalovic 0–1
A. Svanback 🟨
32′
33′
🟨 H. Nasstrom
38′
🟨 M. Bustos
B. Orn 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–1
M. Rasmussen 🟨
60′
64′
🔁 W. Kenndal
↦ H. Näsström
65′
🔁 A. Zeljkovic
↦ K. Bilalovic
A. Nilsson 🔁
↦ A. Svanbäck
71′
D. Olsson 🔁
↦ Amar Muhsin
72′
79′
🔁 F. Adjei
↦ M. Bustos
A. Hellborg 🔁
↦ E. Gigović
89′
D. Bergman 🔁
↦ L. Kjellnäs
89′
91′
🔁 A. Lohikangas
↦ V. Bergh
92′
🔁 J. Rapp
↦ G. Engvall
T. Rogne 🟨
95′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Helsingborg

N. Arvidsson
T. Rogne
E. Gigović
S. Bengtsson
L. Kjellnäs
B. Örn
W. Loeper
Amar Muhsin
M. Rasmussen
A. Svanbäck
W. Nilsson
Bench (8)
A. Nilsson
D. Olsson
A. Hellborg
D. Bergman
S. Almadjed
T. Silverholt
W. Westerlund
E. Rådahl

Coach: K. Saarenpää

Varnamo

J. Rasheed
F. Winsth
H. Näsström
V. Bergh
S. Kotto
S. Thern
Wenderson
K. Bilalovic
G. Engvall
M. Bustos
Carl Johansson
Bench (8)
W. Kenndal
A. Zeljkovic
F. Adjei
A. Lohikangas
J. Rapp
Calle Johansson
F. Bozicevic
V. Andersson

Coach: A. Mravac

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

V Wolf · 77 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.