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Svenska Cupen

Referee: F Klitte

Varnamo

S S S U T

2–0

Full-time

Trelleborg

S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Varnamo Trelleborg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/5 matches

Win Ø 74%

67%

80%

Points per game

2,2

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

83%

40%

Both score Ø 62%

83%

40%

Average goals

3,3

2,8

Scored

2,0

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Svenska Cupen · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

2,0

Conceded

1,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Varnamo 37. · Trelleborg 26. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brommapojkarna	2	2	0	0	+8	6
2	United Nordic	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Hacken	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Vasteras SK	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Malmo FF	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	Mjallby	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	IFK Luleå	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Stockholm Internazionale	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Falkenbergs FF	2	1	0	1	+10	3
10	Sirius	1	1	0	0	+6	3
11	Norrkoping	1	1	0	0	+6	3
12	Hudiksvall	2	1	0	1	+5	3
13	Skövde AIK	1	1	0	0	+5	3
14	Djurgarden	1	1	0	0	+4	3
15	Olympic	2	1	0	1	+4	3
16	Halmstad	1	1	0	0	+4	3
17	AIK	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Helsingborg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Degerfors	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Sandviken	2	1	0	1	+2	3
21	Jönköpings BK	2	1	0	1	+2	3
22	IF Karlstad	2	1	0	1	+2	3
23	Berga	2	1	0	1	+2	3
24	Karlshamn	2	1	0	1	+2	3
25	Elfsborg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Trelleborg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Goteborg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Orgryte	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Utsikten	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Sundsvall	2	1	0	1	+1	3
31	Landskrona	2	1	0	1	+1	3
32	Hammarby	2	1	0	1	+1	3
33	Tvååker	2	1	0	1	+1	3
34	GAIS	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Smedby	2	1	0	1	+1	3
36	Kalmar	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Varnamo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Orebro SK	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Gefle IF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Varberg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Hässleholms IF	2	1	0	1	+0	3
42	Husqvarna	2	1	0	1	+0	3
43	Stocksund	2	1	0	1	+0	3
44	Tyresö W	2	1	0	1	+0	3
45	Sollentuna	2	1	0	1	+0	3
46	Dalstorps	2	1	0	1	-1	3
47	Jonsered	2	1	0	1	-1	3
48	Oster	2	1	0	1	-1	3
49	Ostersunds FK	2	1	0	1	-1	3
50	Zenith	2	1	0	1	-1	3
51	Lund	2	1	0	1	-1	3
52	Dalkurd FF	2	1	0	1	-2	3
53	Örebro Syrianska	2	1	0	1	-2	3
54	Rosengård	2	1	0	1	-2	3
55	Trollhättan	2	1	0	1	-3	3
56	IFK Österåker	2	1	0	1	-3	3
57	IFK Hässleholm	2	1	0	1	-3	3
58	Lucksta	2	1	0	1	-4	3
59	Skellefteå	1	0	1	0	+0	1
60	Haninge	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	Rågsved	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	Järfälla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	IK brage	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Katrineholms SK	2	0	1	1	-3	1
65	Franke	2	0	1	1	-5	1
66	Roslagsbro	2	0	1	1	-5	1
67	Ahlafors	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Lindome	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Räppe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Huddinge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Karlberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	AFC Eskilstuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	FBK Karlstad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Laholm	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Oddevold	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Uppsala	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Vasalund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	IFK Malmö	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Höllviken	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	IFK Östersund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
81	IFK Skövde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	Gute	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	Åsarp-Trädet	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	Göteborgs FF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	Täby	1	0	0	1	-3	0
86	Torstorps	1	0	0	1	-3	0
87	Oskarshamns AIK	1	0	0	1	-3	0
88	Jonkopings Sodra	1	0	0	1	-3	0
89	Skå IK Bygdegård	1	0	0	1	-3	0
90	Högsäter	1	0	0	1	-3	0
91	Lindsdal	1	0	0	1	-3	0
92	Hemgårdarnas	1	0	0	1	-4	0
93	Simrishamn	1	0	0	1	-5	0
94	Korsnäs	1	0	0	1	-6	0
95	Gottne	1	0	0	1	-7	0
96	Torestorp-Älekulla	1	0	0	1	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	IFK Luleå	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	Hudiksvall	2	1	0	1	+5	3
3	Brommapojkarna	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	United Nordic	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Jönköpings BK	2	1	0	1	+2	3
6	Berga	2	1	0	1	+2	3
7	Karlshamn	2	1	0	1	+2	3
8	Malmo FF	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Hacken	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Mjallby	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Hässleholms IF	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Tyresö W	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Sollentuna	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Dalstorps	2	1	0	1	-1	3
15	Zenith	2	1	0	1	-1	3
16	Rosengård	2	1	0	1	-2	3
17	Trollhättan	2	1	0	1	-3	3
18	Lucksta	2	1	0	1	-4	3
19	Rågsved	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Stockholm Internazionale	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Katrineholms SK	2	0	1	1	-3	1
22	Roslagsbro	2	0	1	1	-5	1
23	Hammarby	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Huddinge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Tvååker	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Karlberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	IF Karlstad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	FBK Karlstad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Laholm	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Falkenbergs FF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Olympic	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Höllviken	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	IFK Skövde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Gute	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Åsarp-Trädet	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Lund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Husqvarna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Stocksund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Smedby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Göteborgs FF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Jonsered	1	0	0	1	-3	0
42	Örebro Syrianska	1	0	0	1	-3	0
43	Täby	1	0	0	1	-3	0
44	Dalkurd FF	1	0	0	1	-3	0
45	Torstorps	1	0	0	1	-3	0
46	Skå IK Bygdegård	1	0	0	1	-3	0
47	Högsäter	1	0	0	1	-3	0
48	Sandviken	1	0	0	1	-4	0
49	IFK Hässleholm	1	0	0	1	-4	0
50	Simrishamn	1	0	0	1	-5	0
51	Franke	1	0	0	1	-5	0
52	Korsnäs	1	0	0	1	-6	0
53	IFK Österåker	1	0	0	1	-6	0
54	Torestorp-Älekulla	1	0	0	1	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vasteras SK	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Falkenbergs FF	1	1	0	0	+11	3
3	Sandviken	1	1	0	0	+6	3
4	Sirius	1	1	0	0	+6	3
5	Norrkoping	1	1	0	0	+6	3
6	Olympic	1	1	0	0	+5	3
7	Skövde AIK	1	1	0	0	+5	3
8	Brommapojkarna	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	Djurgarden	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Halmstad	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	Hacken	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	United Nordic	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	AIK	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Helsingborg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Smedby	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Degerfors	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	IFK Österåker	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	IF Karlstad	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Husqvarna	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Stocksund	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Jonsered	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Elfsborg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Trelleborg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Hammarby	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Malmo FF	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Tvååker	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Goteborg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Orgryte	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Utsikten	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Sundsvall	2	1	0	1	+1	3
31	Landskrona	2	1	0	1	+1	3
32	GAIS	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Dalkurd FF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Kalmar	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Stockholm Internazionale	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Varnamo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Örebro Syrianska	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	IFK Hässleholm	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Orebro SK	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Mjallby	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Gefle IF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Lund	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Varberg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	Oster	2	1	0	1	-1	3
45	Ostersunds FK	2	1	0	1	-1	3
46	Skellefteå	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Haninge	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Franke	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Järfälla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	IK brage	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Ahlafors	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Lindome	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Räppe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	AFC Eskilstuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Oddevold	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Uppsala	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Vasalund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	IFK Malmö	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	IFK Östersund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Oskarshamns AIK	1	0	0	1	-3	0
61	Jonkopings Sodra	1	0	0	1	-3	0
62	Lindsdal	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	Hemgårdarnas	1	0	0	1	-4	0
64	Gottne	1	0	0	1	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.