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Allsvenskan
Referee: M Al Hakim
Varnamo
U S T S T
2–0
Full-time
Goteborg
T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Varnamo Goteborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Allsvenskan · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
58%
50%
Both score Ø 46%
50%
42%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,1
Conceded
1,6
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

42% Possession 58%
13 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 15
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Varnamo 12. · Goteborg 13. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Malmo FF 13 10 2 1 +25 +12.8 32
2 Mjallby 14 8 2 4 +8 +1.0 26
3 Djurgarden 12 8 1 3 +13 +0.3 25
4 Hammarby 12 7 0 5 +6 +1.7 21
5 GAIS 12 7 0 5 -1 -2.5 21
6 Hacken 13 6 2 5 +2 -2.4 20
7 Elfsborg 14 6 1 7 +4 +2.6 19
8 Halmstad 12 6 0 6 -2 -1.9 18
9 AIK 12 5 2 5 -4 +0.1 17
10 Sirius 13 4 3 6 -2 +3.5 15
11 Brommapojkarna 13 3 6 4 -5 +2.1 15
12 Varnamo 12 4 2 6 -4 -4.9 14
13 Goteborg 12 4 2 6 -6 -4.1 14
14 Norrkoping 12 3 2 7 -17 -5.6 11
15 Kalmar 12 3 1 8 -11 -5.7 10
16 Vasteras SK 12 2 2 8 -6 +3.0 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

23. Oct -23 Varnamo – Goteborg 3–1 2. Apr -23 Goteborg – Varnamo 0–1 6. Nov -22 Varnamo – Goteborg 1–4 3. Apr -22 Goteborg – Varnamo 2–1

Match report

Varnamo Goteborg
Half-time 1–0
1–0 J. Kalu ⚽
53′
56′
🟨 Oscar Wendt
2–0 A. Zeljkovic ⚽
57′
C. Johansson 🔁
↦ S. Thern
64′
65′
🔁 A. Trondsen
↦ S. Ohlsson
65′
🔁 L. Skjellerup
↦ G. Norlin
70′
🟨 Thomas Santos
M. Steinwender 🔁
↦ F. Winsth
71′
71′
🔁 L. Carlstrand
↦ P. Abraham
71′
🔁 L. Kåhed
↦ A. Muçolli
77′
🔁 E. Salomonsson
↦ O. Wendt
A. Lohikangas 🔁
↦ A. Zeljkovic
84′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Varnamo

4-4-2
1 J. Rasheed G
20 F. Winsth D
5 V. Larsson D
24 E. Grozdanic D
3 V. Bergh D
14 G. Engvall M
11 Wenderson M
6 H. Näsström M
10 A. Zeljkovic M
22 S. Thern F
9 J. Kalu F
Bench (9)
7 C. Johansson
15 M. Steinwender
16 A. Lohikangas
39 V. Andersson
19 M. Bustos
18 M. Alsalkhadi
23 S. Kotto
2 J. Rapp
4 E. Hasić

Coach: A. Mravac

Goteborg

4-2-3-1
25 E. Bishesari G
29 T. Santos D
13 G. Svensson D
15 S. Hausner D
17 O. Wendt D
5 S. Ohlsson M
23 K. Þórðarson M
19 A. Muçolli M
7 O. Pettersson M
11 P. Abraham M
14 G. Norlin F
Bench (8)
6 A. Trondsen
9 L. Skjellerup
16 L. Carlstrand
28 L. Kåhed
2 E. Salomonsson
26 B. Brantlind
34 A. Kristiansen
21 A. Carlén

Coach: S. Billborn

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Al Hakim · 112 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.