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Allsvenskan
Referee: V Wolf
GAIS
S T S S T
0–0
Full-time
Hammarby
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

GAIS Hammarby
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Allsvenskan · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 58%
58%
58%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 80%
67%
92%
Both score Ø 50%
42%
58%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

39% Possession 61%
17 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
10 Corners 8
23 Free kicks against 12
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match GAIS 5. · Hammarby 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Malmo FF 13 10 2 1 +25 +12.8 32
2 Mjallby 14 8 2 4 +8 +1.0 26
3 Djurgarden 12 8 1 3 +13 +0.3 25
4 Hammarby 12 7 0 5 +6 +1.7 21
5 GAIS 12 7 0 5 -1 -2.5 21
6 Hacken 13 6 2 5 +2 -2.4 20
7 Elfsborg 14 6 1 7 +4 +2.6 19
8 Halmstad 12 6 0 6 -2 -1.9 18
9 Varnamo 13 5 2 6 -2 -4.9 17
10 AIK 13 5 2 6 -5 +0.1 17
11 Sirius 13 4 3 6 -2 +3.5 15
12 Brommapojkarna 13 3 6 4 -5 +2.1 15
13 Goteborg 13 4 2 7 -8 -4.1 14
14 Kalmar 13 4 1 8 -10 -5.7 13
15 Norrkoping 12 3 2 7 -17 -5.6 11
16 Vasteras SK 12 2 2 8 -6 +3.0 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

GAIS Hammarby
Axel Henriksson 🟨
17′
37′
🟨 Deniz Gül
42′
🟨 Pavle Vagić
William Milovanovic 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–0
Joackim Aberg 🟨
48′
65′
🔁 J. Erabi
↦ B. Touré
A. Ahl-Holmström 🔁
↦ L. Hedlund
66′
A. Boudri 🔁
↦ A. Henriksson
74′
H. Ibrahim 🔁
↦ J. Åberg
75′
79′
🔁 S. Strand
↦ H. Skoglund
79′
🔁 V. Đukanović
↦ D. Gül
C. Amatkarijo 🔁
↦ M. Çelik
88′
Amin Boudri 🟨
91′
Robin Frej 🟨
92′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

GAIS

4-3-3
1 M. Krasniqi G
6 A. Wängberg D
4 A. Norén D
22 A. Čardaklija D
12 R. Frej D
21 A. Henriksson M
7 J. Åberg M
8 W. Milovanovic M
9 G. Lundgren F
28 L. Hedlund F
10 M. Çelik F
Bench (9)
18 A. Ahl-Holmström
17 A. Boudri
32 H. Ibrahim
26 C. Amatkarijo
25 J. Lindberg
11 E. Becirovic
13 K. Sims
14 F. Gustafsson
24 F. Beckman

Coach: F. Holmberg

Hammarby

4-2-3-1
1 O. Dovin G
2 H. Skoglund D
4 V. Eriksson D
6 P. Vagić D
30 S. Pinas D
8 F. Hammar M
5 T. Tekie M
11 O. Johansson Schellhas M
20 N. Besara M
28 B. Touré M
19 D. Gül F
Bench (9)
9 J. Erabi
21 S. Strand
7 V. Đukanović
25 D. Blažević
29 D. Teah
22 M. Karlsson
14 D. Collander
24 K. Gyamfi
15 Marc Llinares

Coach: K. Hellberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

V Wolf · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.